The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cienciano 35.9%
Draw 30.4%
Alianza Lima 33.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.7%
29.1%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.7%
29.8%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cienciano's form might have worsened.
Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cienciano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Lima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Cienciano - Alianza Lima Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Alianza Lima will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Cienciano (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cienciano (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Falcon G. (G) 25. Salazar R. 4. Amondarain M. 13. Nunez C. 29. Robles A. 39. Caparo H. 88. Barreto G. 7. Souza Espana C. 10. Hohberg A. 11. Bandiera N. 21. Garces C. (C)
1. Duarte A. (G) 17. Advincula L. 4. Chavez G. 6. Garces R. 31. Carbajal C. 13. Huaman M. 5. Pavez E. 20. Velez J. 15. Castillo J. 34. Paolo Guerrero (C) 8. Castillo E.
Substitutes
26. Aguilar R. 8. Aguirre G. 31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 18. La Torre D. 16. Martinich M. 37. Rojas A. 17. Sandoval R. 19. Succar M. 27. Yovera A.
29. Archimbaud J. 18. Burlamaqui A. 11. Cantero A. 7. Gaibor F. 32. Garcia J. 25. Gentile G. 99. Girotti F. 27. Quevedo K. 23. Viscarra G. (G)
Coaches
Melgarejo H.
Guede P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Garces C. 🟨,
14', Garces R. 🟨,
29', Salazar R. 🟥,
45+4', 0 - 1, Huaman M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Caparo H. ↓, Aguilar R. ↑,
62', Carbajal C. 🟨,
65', Bandiera N. ↓, Succar M. ↑,
68', Advincula L. 🟨,
70', Robles A. ↓, Martinich M. ↑,
72', Paolo Guerrero ↓, Girotti F. ↑,
82', Castillo E. ↓, Cantero A. ↑,
82', Castillo J. ↓, Archimbaud J. ↑,
82', Velez J. ↓, Gentile G. ↑,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 3.
Cienciano is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Alianza Lima is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Cienciano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Cienciano might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Cienciano: Arias Fierro S. D.
(Lower Back Injury)
There will not play in Alianza Lima: Antoni M.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Alianza Lima: Cantero A.
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Cienciano won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
Peru
Usa
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Falcon G. (G) 
Salazar R. 
Nunez C. 
Bandiera N. 
Garces C. (C) 
Pavez E. 
Viscarra G. (G) 
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