Match Info

PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 17

Date: 24 May 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Mansiche (Trujillo)

Referee: Zamora J. (Per)


	Universidad César Vallejo		Atlético Grau

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.5	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.15	3.35	3.35	Watch
	2.17	3.15	3.52
	2.18	2.98	3.52
	2.05	3.25	3.25
	2.16	3.43	3.49	Watch
	2.15	3.05	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.94)	3.16 ↓ (3.25)	3.4 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad César Vallejo
43.4%

Draw
29.3%

Atlético Grau
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

28.4%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.7%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad César Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad César Vallejo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Universidad César Vallejo - Atlético Grau Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. César Vallejo will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grados C. (G) 32. Madrid J. 5. Deneumostier A. 19. Ascues C. 29. Loyola N. 10. Velez J. (C) 8. Ysique F. 88. Ballon J. 20. Noronha O. 17. Mena Y. 23. Da Silva P.	1. Alvarez P. (C) 15. Rostaing J. 27. Tapia R. 2. Ampuero A. 6. Rodas E. 8. Soto D. 5. Guarderas R. 10. de la Cruz P. 22. Vivanco P. 11. Bandiera N. 77. Da Luz M.
Substitutes
13. Barreto G. 44. Benavente C. 33. Benitez E. 14. Cabello C. 21. Carvallo J. (G) 22. Flores F. 3. Ganoza M. 24. Olaya S. 6. Perea G.	14. Alvarez L. 17. Figueroa N. 13. Franco D. 16. F. Rojas 23. Oncoy F. 3. Reyes J. 21. Reynoso A. (G) 4. Rosell Delgado J. A. 7. Sandoval R.
Coaches
Salas G.	Comizzo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Rodas E. ⚽,
40', Da Silva P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Loyola N. ↓, Ganoza M. ↑,
52', Ampuero A. 🟨,
53', 1 - 1, Velez J. ⚽,
61', Comizzo A. 🟥,
70', Rostaing J. ↓, F. Rojas ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Mena Y. ⚽, Velez J. (A),
75', Noronha O. ↓, Benitez E. ↑,
81', Da Luz M. ↓, Figueroa N. ↑,
81', Soto D. ↓, Oncoy F. ↑,
88', Rodas E. ↓, Sandoval R. ↑,
90+2', Da Silva P. ↓, Barreto G. ↑,
90+5', Benitez E. 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches César Vallejo won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Grau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently César Vallejo have a series of home games.

César Vallejo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches César Vallejo won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams César Vallejo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad César Vallejo
Peruvian Liga 1
19.05.24	Carlos A. Mannucci - Universidad César Vallejo	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.05.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Always Ready	2:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
11.05.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Los Chankas	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.05.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Independiente Medellín	1:5 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
03.05.24	Cienciano - Universidad César Vallejo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTTLT
- Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1
17.05.24	Atlético Grau - Cusco	4:0 ✺
12.05.24	Deportivo Garcilaso - Atlético Grau	0:0 ✺
06.05.24	Atlético Grau - Sport Huancayo	0:0 ✺
27.04.24	Cajamarca - Atlético Grau	3:2 ✺
21.04.24	Atlético Grau - FBC Melgar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
04.09.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Atlético Grau	5:0
15.04.23	Atlético Grau - Universidad César Vallejo	1:1
07.08.22	Universidad César Vallejo - Atlético Grau	0:1
13.03.22	Atlético Grau - Universidad César Vallejo	1:1
08.02.20	Atlético Grau - Universidad César Vallejo	1:1
Peruvian Copa Bicentenario
22.06.19	Atlético Grau - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0
Peruvian Liga 2
19.08.18	Atlético Grau - Universidad César Vallejo	1:0

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