Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 2 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Mansiche (Trujillo)

Referee: Zanovelli P. C. (Bra)


	Universidad César Vallejo		Defensa y Justicia

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.25	1.95	Watch
	3.75	3.3	1.98
	3.6	3.4	2	Watch
	3.85	3.35	2
	3.83	3.32	1.99
	3.7	3.3	1.91	Watch
	3.84	3.46	1.94	Watch
	3.8	3.25	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (2.9)	3.33 ↑ (3.27)	1.97 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Universidad César Vallejo
24.4%

Draw
28.1%

Defensa y Justicia
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

28.5%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

28%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad César Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad César Vallejo's form might have worsened.

Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Defensa y Justicia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad César Vallejo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Defensa y Justicia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	10%	80%

Universidad César Vallejo - Defensa y Justicia Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. César Vallejo will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Defensa y Justicia: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grados C. (G) 32. Madrid J. 19. Ascues C. 5. Deneumostier A. 2. Quinones Goicochea J. J. 13. Barreto G. 7. Barreto O. 10. Velez J. 17. Mena Y. 20. Noronha O. 9. Paolo Guerrero (C)	22. Fiermarin C. (G) 3. Soto A. 4. Tripichio N. (C) 6. Burgos E. 21. Ramos S. 26. Caceres D. 8. Lopez J. 10. Bogarin R. 30. Lopez K. 29. Fernandez N. 7. Zapata Y.
Substitutes
33. Benitez E. 14. Cabello C. 23. Da Silva P. 30. Falcon Camacho W. S. (G) 22. Flores F. 29. Loyola N. 24. Olaya S. 6. Perea G. 12. Rabines M. (G) 27. Ramirez A. 28. Santibanez S. 8. Ysique F.	37. Blandi N. 23. Bologna E. (G) 20. Calderon E. 14. Cannavo E. 36. Echevarria F. 40. Gimenez U. 9. Godoy S. L. 27. Herrera L. 13. Lucero S. 33. Palavecino N. 18. Romero F. 35. Schamine B.
Coaches
Salas G.	Vaccari J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ramos S. ↓, Calderon E. ↑,
46', Lopez K. ↓, Herrera L. ↑,
54', Calderon E. 🟨,
59', 0 - 1, Zapata Y. ⚽,
65', Zapata Y. ↓, Palavecino N. ↑,
68', Barreto O. ↓, Ramirez A. ↑,
76', Noronha O. ↓, Olaya S. ↑,
78', Olaya S. 🟨,
78', Fernandez N. ↓, Godoy S. L. ↑,
87', Herrera L. 🟨,
90', Barreto G. 🟨,
90+2', Tripichio N. ↓, Cannavo E. ↑,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

César Vallejo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Defensa y Justicia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad César Vallejo
Peruvian Liga 1
30.03.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Universitario de Deportes	0:0 ✺
14.03.24	Alianza Atlético - Universidad César Vallejo	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Sport Boys - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.03.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Sport Huancayo	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
02.03.24	Universidad César Vallejo - Cusco	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTLWT
- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
29.03.24	Defensa y Justicia - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
21.03.24	Defensa y Justicia - Atlético de Rafaela	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.03.24	Racing - Defensa y Justicia	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Defensa y Justicia - Unión Santa Fe	2:1 ✺
07.03.24	Belgrano - Defensa y Justicia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLTWT

Upcoming Matches