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Current Win Probability
Cajamarca 28.2%
Draw 29%
Universitario de Deportes 42.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.5%
29.6%
38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.7%
30.7%
37.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universitario de Deportes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Cajamarca - Universitario de Deportes Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 7 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Barrios I. (G) 17. Garro L. 6. Cavagna F. 2. Duarte B. (C) 5. Huerto J. 88. Arce L. 16. Figuera A. 22. Camacho D. 10. Lliuya M. 19. Munoz A. 11. Arroyo A.
1. Romero D. (G) 2. Fara C. 3. Riveros W. 5. Di Benedetto M. 15. Requena J. 24. Polo A. (C) 28. Quiroz A. 17. Concha J. 33. Inga C. 18. Lapadula G. 20. Valera A.
Substitutes
21. Bettocchi R. (G) 15. Cantt J. 13. Caro D. 9. de Jesus M. 8. Dioses D. 18. Galvez S. 35. Paredes G.
30. Alzugaray L. 10. Calcaterra H. 8. Fertoli H. 19. Flores E. 70. Gutierrez J. 23. Murrugarra J. 39. Quispe Cordova P. A. 4. Santamaria A. 25. Vargas M. (G)
Coaches
Paulucci C.
Cuper H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Arce L. ⚽, Lliuya M. (A),
20', 2 - 0, Arroyo A. ⚽, Camacho D. (A),
24', Arroyo A. 🟨,
29', Quiroz A. ↓, Quispe Cordova P. A. ↑,
32', Figuera A. 🟨,
45', Garro L. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 1, Concha J. ⚽,
45+2', Requena J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Fara C. ↓, Santamaria A. ↑,
46', Barrios I. ↓, Bettocchi R. ↑,
57', Huerto J. ↓, Caro D. ↑,
61', Santamaria A. 🟨,
63', Garro L. ↓, Paredes G. ↑,
66', Lapadula G. ↓, Alzugaray L. ↑,
66', Requena J. ↓, Murrugarra J. ↑,
73', 2 - 2, Riveros W. ⚽, Concha J. (A),
77', 2 - 3, Valera A. ⚽, Inga C. (A),
80', 2 - 4, Polo A. ⚽, Alzugaray L. (A),
81', Arroyo A. ↓, de Jesus M. ↑,
81', Duarte B. ↓, Cantt J. ↑,
83', Inga C. ↓, Gutierrez J. ↑,
84', Camacho D. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 0.
Cajamarca has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Uni de Deportes is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Cajamarca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Uni de Deportes will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Cajamarca: Campos A.
(Face Injury)
Ganoza M.
(Red Card)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:31. (average 0.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.7:1).
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Barrios I. (G) 
Garro L. 
Duarte B. (C) 
Arce L. 
Figuera A. 
Camacho D. 
Arroyo A. 
Riveros W. 
Vargas M. (G) 
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