Match Info

Date: 18 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio San Martin de Porres (Lima)


	Universidad San Martín		Cajamarca

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.37	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.3
	2.95	3.1	2.38	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.29
	3.05	3.21	2.47
	2.88	3	2.38	Watch
	2.95	3.15	2.42	Watch
	2.85	3.25	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (3.05)	3.18 ↓ (3.3)	2.37 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad San Martín
31.7%

Draw
29.1%

Cajamarca
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

28.9%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

29.6%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad San Martín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad San Martín than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	57.1%	14.3%

Universidad San Martín - Cajamarca Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Uni San Martín will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Cajamarca will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Universidad San Martín won 1.

Universidad San Martín is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cajamarca is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cajamarca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 26 head-to-head matches Universidad San Martín won 6 matches, drawn 11 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 35-37.

Including matches at home between the teams Universidad San Martín won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad San Martín
Peruvian Liga 1
12.09.22	Sport Huancayo - Universidad San Martín	3:2 ✺
26.08.22	FBC Melgar - Universidad San Martín	2:1 ✺
21.08.22	Universidad San Martín - Sporting Cristal	1:2 ✺
13.08.22	Carlos A. Mannucci - Universidad San Martín	3:2 ✺
06.08.22	Universidad San Martín - Alianza Atlético	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLLW
- UTC De Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1
09.09.22	Cajamarca - Carlos Stein	4:0 ✺
04.09.22	Cantolao - Cajamarca	0:0 ✺
28.08.22	Cajamarca - Alianza Lima	1:1 ✺
19.08.22	Cajamarca - Ayacucho	2:1 ✺
14.08.22	Sport Huancayo - Cajamarca	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
02.05.22	Cajamarca - Universidad San Martín	3:1
30.10.21	Cajamarca - Universidad San Martín	4:0
07.05.21	Cajamarca - Universidad San Martín	0:1
19.11.20	Universidad San Martín - Cajamarca	1:1
22.09.20	Universidad San Martín - Cajamarca	1:1
13.07.19	Cajamarca - Universidad San Martín	0:2
16.02.19	Universidad San Martín - Cajamarca	1:1

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