Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Héroes de San Ramón (Cajamarca)

Referee: Palomino M. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Cajamarca		Alianza Lima

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.5	Watch
	3.6	3.1	1.93
	2.65	3.2	2.6	Watch
	2.86	3.17	2.63
	2.71	3.21	2.61	Watch
	2.7	3	2.6
	2.62	3.27	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (4.78)	3.16 ↓ (3.83)	2.5 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cajamarca
32.9%

Draw
29.6%

Alianza Lima
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

24.4%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cajamarca's performance.

Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Lima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Cajamarca - Alianza Lima Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Cajamarca (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cajamarca (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Campos A. (C) 17. Garro L. 27. Serra P. 2. Duarte B. 13. Caro D. 8. Dioses D. 88. Arce L. 22. Camacho D. 10. Lliuya M. 19. Munoz A. 9. de Jesus M.	1. Duarte A. (G) 13. Huaman M. 4. Chavez G. 6. Garces R. (C) 31. Carbajal C. 5. Pavez E. 17. Advincula L. 20. Velez J. 11. Cantero A. 8. Castillo E. 9. Ramos L.
Substitutes
11. Arroyo A. 29. Barrios I. (G) 15. Cantt J. 6. Cavagna F. 18. Galvez S. 3. Ganoza M. 7. Nunez J. 35. Paredes G. 14. Rasmussen M.	18. Burlamaqui A. 21. Cari P. 12. De la Cruz A. (G) 77. Estrada J. 7. Gaibor F. 25. Gentile G. 99. Girotti F. 34. Paolo Guerrero 27. Quevedo K.
Coaches
Albornoz J.	Guede P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Arce L. 🟥,
23', de Jesus M. ↓, Arroyo A. ↑,
40', Advincula L. 🟨,
42', Duarte B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Advincula L. ↓, Quevedo K. ↑,
57', Camacho D. ↓, Ganoza M. ↑,
58', Ramos L. ↓, Girotti F. ↑,
63', Cantero A. ↓, Cari P. ↑,
70', Castillo E. 🟥,
77', Garro L. ↓, Paredes G. ↑,
77', Munoz A. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
90+1', Campos A. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 1, Garces R. ⚽, Velez J. (A),
90+5', Velez J. ↓, Estrada J. ↑,
90+5', Cari P. ↓, Gaibor F. ↑,
90+6', Estrada J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 0.

Cajamarca is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alianza Lima's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cajamarca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Alianza Lima might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Alianza Lima: Archimbaud J. (Knee Injury) Castillo J. (Injury) Viscarra G. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Cajamarca: Garro L. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 0.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.6:0.7).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Alianza Lima	10	4	4	2	14:10	4	16
18	Cajamarca	10	0	2	8	11:24	-13	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UTC De Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1
22.02.26	ADT Tarma - Cajamarca	2:2 ✺
13.02.26	Cajamarca - Cusco	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	Moquegua - Cajamarca	2:3 ✺
30.01.26	Cajamarca - Atlético Grau	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.01.26	Cajamarca - Comerciantes Unidos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TWWWT
- Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1
20.02.26	Alianza Lima - Sport Boys	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Alianza Atlético - Alianza Lima	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
11.02.26	Alianza Lima - 2 de Mayo	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
08.02.26	Alianza Lima - Comerciantes Unidos	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.02.26	2 de Mayo - Alianza Lima	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
23.11.25	Alianza Lima - Cajamarca	3:0
12.07.25	Cajamarca - Alianza Lima	0:0
18.10.24	Cajamarca - Alianza Lima	0:1
03.05.24	Alianza Lima - Cajamarca	1:0
05.08.23	Alianza Lima - Cajamarca	1:0
05.03.23	Cajamarca - Alianza Lima	0:1
28.08.22	Cajamarca - Alianza Lima	1:1

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