Match Info

Date: 6 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio San Martin de Porres (Lima)


	Universidad San Martín		Alianza Atlético

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.75	2.05	Watch
	3.2	3.4	1.98
	3.35	3.45	2
	3.2	3.5	2
	3.5	3.75	2.03
	3.3	3.3	2
	3.36	3.6	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (3.24)	3.54 ↑ (3.39)	2.01 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad San Martín
27.8%

Draw
26.2%

Alianza Atlético
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

27.4%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

27.5%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad San Martín than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Universidad San Martín - Alianza Atlético Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Uni San Martín will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Universidad San Martín won 4.

Universidad San Martín has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Alianza Atlético is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Universidad San Martín won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 24-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Universidad San Martín won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad San Martín
Peruvian Liga 1
31.07.22	Atlético Grau - Universidad San Martín	1:0 ✺
27.07.22	Universidad San Martín - Ayacucho	3:3 ✺
23.07.22	Sport Boys - Universidad San Martín	2:0 ✺
16.07.22	Universidad San Martín - Universitario de Deportes	0:4 ✺
11.07.22	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universidad San Martín	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLLL
- Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1
31.07.22	Alianza Atlético - Carlos Stein	2:1 ✺
26.07.22	Alianza Lima - Alianza Atlético	1:0 ✺
23.07.22	Alianza Atlético - Cantolao	3:1 ✺
18.07.22	Cajamarca - Alianza Atlético	2:1 ✺
03.07.22	Alianza Atlético - FBC Melgar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
12.03.22	Alianza Atlético - Universidad San Martín	3:1
23.10.21	Universidad San Martín - Alianza Atlético	3:1
20.03.21	Universidad San Martín - Alianza Atlético	2:1
21.10.17	Universidad San Martín - Alianza Atlético	4:1
08.07.17	Alianza Atlético - Universidad San Martín	0:2
09.04.17	Alianza Atlético - Universidad San Martín	2:2
04.02.17	Universidad San Martín - Alianza Atlético	0:1

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