Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - CLAUSURA - ROUND 5

Date: 23 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Miguel Grau (Callao)


	Cantolao		Cajamarca

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.4	2.7	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.45
	2.6	3.5	2.5
	2.62	3.29	2.69
	2.6	3.1	2.55
	2.64	3.36	2.62	Watch
	2.6	3.25	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (1.8)	3.3 ↑ (3.27)	2.59 ↓ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cantolao
35.8%

Draw
28.2%

Cajamarca
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

28.3%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

27.9%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cantolao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cantolao's form might have worsened.

Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cajamarca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cantolao than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cantolao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cajamarca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	30%	50%

Cantolao - Cajamarca Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cantolao will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Cajamarca will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cajamarca: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Limousin C. (G) 29. Lojas S. 3. Sanchez A. 2. Montoya J. 55. Duclos F. 19. Tamariz A. 20. Ramirez D. 27. Velasco S. 9. Espinoza Torres R. 8. Ramirez L. 7. Vergara H.	1. Zubczuk P. (G) 25. Requena P. 19. Randazzo J. 4. Gambetta G. 15. Ortiz Perez J. 14. Diez C. 18. Mejia C. 17. Fernandez R. 20. Abisab M. 11. Gentile G. 13. Peraza F.
Substitutes
18. Acosta M. 6. Alzamora R. 15. Calabrese B. 30. Huerto J. 21. Jimenez J. 50. Lozada J. (G) 4. Moreira F. 14. Regalado I. 22. Sanchez C.	30. Fajardo J. 5. Fuentes J. 21. Infante M. 3. Medina J. (G) 10. Ramirez E. 8. Sanchez J. 24. Yves R.
Coaches
Taffarel A.	Pizarro F.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cantolao won 1.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Cantolao won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Cantolao won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Cantolao
Peruvian Liga 1
15.07.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Cantolao	2:1 ✺
07.07.23	Cantolao - Universitario de Deportes	1:4 ✺
04.07.23	Sport Boys - Cantolao	0:1 ✺
22.06.23	Cantolao - Sporting Cristal	0:2 ✺
10.06.23	Cantolao - Deportivo Municipal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLWLL
- UTC De Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1
14.07.23	Cajamarca - Alianza Atlético	1:1 ✺
08.07.23	Cienciano - Cajamarca	2:2 ✺
30.06.23	Cajamarca - Sport Huancayo	0:0 ✺
26.06.23	Cusco - Cajamarca	2:1 ✺
04.06.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Cajamarca	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
22.02.23	Cajamarca - Cantolao	1:0
04.09.22	Cantolao - Cajamarca	0:0
15.04.22	Cajamarca - Cantolao	2:2
22.10.21	Cantolao - Cajamarca	2:0
23.04.21	Cantolao - Cajamarca	0:1
03.11.20	Cajamarca - Cantolao	4:2
17.09.20	Cajamarca - Cantolao	3:1

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