Match Info

Date: 3 October 2021, Sunday


	Universidad San Martín		Cusco

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.4	3	2
	3.5	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.35	3.2	2.06
	3.64	3.28	2.15
	3.1	3.1	2.2	Watch
	3.42	3.44	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (3)	3.2 ↓ (3.22)	2.09 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad San Martín
27.4%

Draw
28.7%

Cusco
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

29%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

21.2%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad San Martín than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cusco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Universidad San Martín - Cusco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 and 16).

Universidad San Martín has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cusco is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Universidad San Martín could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cusco will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Universidad San Martín won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 17-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Universidad San Martín won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad San Martín
Peruvian Liga 1
27.09.21	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Universidad San Martín	1:0 ✺
23.09.21	Universidad San Martín - Universidad César Vallejo	0:1 ✺
19.09.21	Sport Huancayo - Universidad San Martín	3:1 ✺
13.09.21	Universidad San Martín - Universitario de Deportes	0:2 ✺
03.09.21	Sporting Cristal - Universidad San Martín	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLLT
- Cusco FC
Peruvian Liga 1
27.09.21	Cusco - Cantolao	3:2 ✺
22.09.21	Sport Boys - Cusco	3:2 ✺
17.09.21	Cusco - Alianza Lima	0:2 ✺
11.09.21	Ayacucho - Cusco	1:3 ✺
27.08.21	Cusco - Cienciano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
14.09.20	Universidad San Martín - Cusco	1:2
21.07.19	Universidad San Martín - Cusco	2:1
25.02.19	Cusco - Universidad San Martín	2:1
06.11.18	Universidad San Martín - Cusco	2:3
15.08.18	Cusco - Universidad San Martín	3:3
03.12.17	Cusco - Universidad San Martín	2:1
13.08.17	Universidad San Martín - Cusco	2:2

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