The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cusco 41.2%
Draw 29.7%
Alianza Lima 29.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.4%
28.6%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
27.6%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Cusco - Alianza Lima Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9th and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 3.
Cusco has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Alianza Lima is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Cusco could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Alianza Lima has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Cusco has recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:28 (averaging 1.1:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cusco against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 18:6 goals (averaging 1.8:0.6 per game).
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