The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cusco 40.6%
Draw 29.9%
Alianza Lima 29.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.4%
28.6%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
27.6%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Cusco - Alianza Lima Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Cusco will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Alianza Lima will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Diaz P. (G) 21. Zevallos J. 8. Fuentes A. 2. Gamarra C. 3. Lagos R. 55. Montano C. 26. Silva N. 14. Diez C. 10. Colman I. (C) 7. Manzaneda J. 9. Callejo F.
1. Duarte A. (G) 17. Advincula L. 6. Garces R. (C) 3. Antoni M. 13. Huaman M. 27. Quevedo K. 4. Chavez G. 7. Gaibor F. 20. Velez J. 25. Gentile G. 8. Castillo E.
Substitutes
6. Ampuero A. 22. Colitto L. 77. Herrera Joel 99. Miguel Silveira 24. Ruidias M. 88. Soto D. 11. Tevez J. 16. Valenzuela O. 13. Vidal A. (G)
29. Archimbaud J. 31. Carbajal C. 15. Castillo J. 12. De la Cruz A. (G) 2. Diaz N. 99. Girotti F. 14. Montenegro D. 22. Neira C. 9. Ramos L.
Coaches
Rabanal J.
Guede P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Antoni M. ⚽, Gaibor F. (A),
45+5', Velez J. 🟨,
45+5', Fuentes A. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Manzaneda J. ↓, Ruidias M. ↑,
46', Diez C. ↓, Soto D. ↑,
46', Silva N. ↓, Ampuero A. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Soto D. ⚽, Lagos R. (A),
60', Chavez G. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
60', Quevedo K. ↓, Girotti F. ↑,
73', Gaibor F. ↓, Neira C. ↑,
73', Zevallos J. ↓, Colitto L. ↑,
73', Colman I. ↓, Miguel Silveira ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Ampuero A. (Own goal),
86', Velez J. ↓, Diaz N. ↑,
87', Castillo E. ↓, Carbajal C. ↑,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 9th and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 3.
Cusco has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Alianza Lima has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Alianza Lima may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Alianza Lima has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Cusco holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Cusco has recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:28 (averaging 1.1:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cusco against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 18:6 goals (averaging 1.8:0.6 per game).
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Diaz P. (G) 
Montano C. 
Silva N. 
Antoni M. 
Miguel Silveira 
Diaz N. 
Rabanal J. 
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