Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Miguel Grau (Callao)

Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Sport Boys		Cusco

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.12	3.35	3.25	Watch
	2.12	3.41	3.36
	2.12	3.36	3.39	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.3
	2.12	3.32	3.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.24)	3.31 ↓ (3.36)	3.34 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Boys
43.9%

Draw
28.2%

Cusco
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

27.8%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

26.7%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Cusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Sport Boys - Cusco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Melian D. (G) 17. Saba E. 3. Zambrano C. 26. Riojas H. (C) 13. Llontop M. 24. Mora O. 8. Da Campo N. 11. Urruti L. 47. Trauco M. 7. Lopez C. 9. Nequecaur L.	28. Diaz P. (G) 24. Ruidias M. 8. Fuentes A. 2. Gamarra C. 21. Zevallos J. 16. Valenzuela O. 22. Colitto L. 88. Soto D. 10. Colman I. (C) 7. Manzaneda J. 11. Tevez J.
Substitutes
10. Alarcon J. 4. Alfani R. 14. Diaz R. 28. Gonzales E. 5. Illanes F. 30. Liza P. 1. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 80. Torres J. 20. Vasquez A.	17. Ali Gutierrez J. D. 6. Ampuero A. 15. Bolivar J. 27. Carabajal G. 37. Choi G. 14. Diez C. 77. Herrera Joel 26. Silva N. 13. Vidal A. (G)
Coaches
Desio C.	Orfila A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Nequecaur L. (Penalty Awarded),
18', Colman I. 🟨,
20', Fuentes A. 🟨,
29', Riojas H. 🟨,
39', Zevallos J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Nequecaur L. 🟨,
52', 1 - 0, Nequecaur L. ⚽,
57', Gamarra C. 🟨,
61', Manzaneda J. ↓, Carabajal G. ↑,
70', Colitto L. ↓, Silva N. ↑,
70', Valenzuela O. ↓, Diez C. ↑,
75', Mora O. ↓, Gonzales E. ↑,
76', Zevallos J. ↓, Bolivar J. ↑,
77', Da Campo N. 🟨,
81', Nequecaur L. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
81', Trauco M. ↓, Alarcon J. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sport Boys won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sport Boys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Sport Boys: Solis L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sport Boys: Dulanto G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cusco: Callejo F. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sport Boys won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:34. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sport Boys won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 2:0.9).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Sport Boys	10	5	3	2	14:7	7	18
9	Cusco	10	6	0	4	19:14	5	18

Last Results with these Odds

Cusco - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 30.45%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Boys Association
Peruvian Liga 1
11.05.26	Sport Boys - Universitario de Deportes	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Cajamarca - Sport Boys	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Sport Boys - Juan Pablo II College	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Alianza Atlético - Sport Boys	0:1 ✺
14.04.26	Sport Boys - FBC Melgar	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TLTWL
- Cusco FC
Peruvian Liga 1
10.05.26	Cusco - Los Chankas	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.05.26	Cusco - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
03.05.26	Sporting Cristal - Cusco	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
30.04.26	Independiente Medellín - Cusco	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
26.04.26	Cusco - Sport Huancayo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
07.11.25	Cusco - Sport Boys	3:0
06.07.25	Sport Boys - Cusco	1:2
05.08.24	Cusco - Sport Boys	3:1
24.02.24	Sport Boys - Cusco	3:0
03.10.23	Sport Boys - Cusco	2:1
27.05.23	Cusco - Sport Boys	2:1
22.09.21	Sport Boys - Cusco	3:2

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