The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad de Chile 42.9%
Draw 26.9%
Colo-Colo 30.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
29.1%
34.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
28.8%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad de Chile's performance.
Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad de Chile that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Universidad de Chile - Colo Colo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Castellon G. (G) 17. Hormazabal F. 22. Zaldivia M. 5. Ramirez N. 14. Morales M. 20. Aranguiz C. (C) 29. Barrera L. 7. Guerrero Pena M. G. 28. Arce A. 15. Reinhart T. 11. Eduardo Vargas
25. Maureira G. (G) 2. Villagra J. 23. Vidal A. (C) 4. Sosa J. 28. Rojas J. 5. Mendez V. 8. Madrid A. 26. Ulloa D. 24. Hernandez L. 10. Pastran L. 9. Correa J.
Substitutes
19. Altamirano J. 21. Diaz M. 3. Lichnovsky I. 18. Lucero J. 8. Poblete Zuniga I. E. 32. Reyna G. 31. Tamayo B. 1. Toselli C. (G) 23. Vasquez Gonzalez I. A.
6. Alarcon T. 11. Bolados M. 34. Catalan R. 13. Fernandez M. 50. Raipan F. 17. Roman I. 19. Romero M. 99. Vozinha (G) 21. Wiemberg E.
Coaches
Gago F.
Ortiz F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Madrid A. ⚽, Correa J. (A),
39', Guerrero Pena M. G. 🟨,
42', Hernandez L. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Aranguiz C. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Guerrero Pena M. G. ↓, Lichnovsky I. ↑,
53', 1 - 2, Correa J. ⚽, Mendez V. (A),
57', Zaldivia M. 🟨,
61', Reinhart T. 🟨,
61', Madrid A. 🟨,
63', Arce A. ↓, Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. ↑,
64', Hernandez L. ↓, Alarcon T. ↑,
73', Pastran L. ↓, Romero M. ↑,
76', Aranguiz C. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
77', Madrid A. ↓, Roman I. ↑,
83', Hormazabal F. ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
90+2', Villagra J. 🟨,
90+3', Barrera L. 🟨,
90+3', Correa J. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 3.
In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.
Universidad de Chile may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Universidad de Chile won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1:1.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Colo Colo
23
17
3
3
48:22
26
54
3
U. De Chile
23
12
6
5
35:19
16
42
Last Results with these Odds
Colo-Colo - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 34.87%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Usa
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Castellon G. (G) 
Barrera L. 
Sosa J. 
Tamayo B. 
Vozinha (G) 
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