The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cobreloa 29%
Draw 29.6%
Palestino 41.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.8%
28.9%
35.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
29.2%
34.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cobreloa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cobreloa's form might have worsened.
Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palestino's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cobreloa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palestino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
27.3%
72.7%
Cobreloa - Palestino Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Palestino will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Palestino: 46.4% – 99%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Avellaneda N. (G) 39. Ogaz B. 4. Tapia B. 5. Gonzalez R. (C) 2. Espejo J. 41. Donadell N. 11. Leiva J. 24. Garcia L. 6. Palma N. 33. Fernandez P. 23. Javier Parraguez
1. Rigamonti C. (C) 3. Rojas B. 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 17. Roman I. 28. Zuniga D. 5. Linares N. 23. Martinez Arce A. E. 24. Palacio P. 10. Davila Carvajal M. 11. Benitez J. 9. Sosa G.
Substitutes
1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 40. Becerra M. 10. Borgnino M. 8. Cornejo L. 18. Melendez J. 14. Orrego N. 37. Valdes B.
14. Abrigo J. 21. Araneda B. 16. Bizama J. 22. Chamorro F. 26. Contreras D. (G) 32. Jimenez M. 19. Vejar B.
Coaches
Giovagnoli D.
Bovaglio L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Sosa G. ⚽, Zuniga D. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Fernandez P. ↓, Valdes B. ↑,
46', Ogaz B. ↓, Borgnino M. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Tapia B. ⚽, Borgnino M. (A),
47', Rojas B. 🟨,
54', 2 - 1, Borgnino M. ⚽, Donadell N. (A),
55', Rigamonti C. 🟨,
59', Davila Carvajal M. ↓, Abrigo J. ↑,
59', Palacio P. ↓, Vejar B. ↑,
60', Tapia B. 🟨,
72', Linares N. 🟨,
79', Benitez J. ↓, Araneda B. ↑,
80', Linares N. ↓, Chamorro F. ↑,
83', Palma N. ↓, Melendez J. ↑,
86', 3 - 1, Javier Parraguez ⚽, Borgnino M. (A),
88', Javier Parraguez ↓, Becerra M. ↑,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera B and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cobreloa won 3.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Cobreloa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Palestino will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Cobreloa won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Cobreloa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-3.
Chile
Watch
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Avellaneda N. (G) 
Ogaz B. 
Jimenez M. 
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