The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad de Concepción 42.2%
Draw 27.6%
Curicó Unido 30.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.7%
26.2%
42.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31%
25.7%
43.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad de Concepción's performance.
Curicó Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Curicó Unido might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad de Concepción that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Curicó Unido could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Universidad de Concepción - Curicó Unido Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Uni de Concepción will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Curicó Unido will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Matamala D. (G) 11. Diaz A. 40. Fernandez G. 34. Herrera F. 42. Munoz L. 14. Parra P. 23. Romero P. 37. Ruiz M. 29. Sabando D. 32. Saez B. 25. Salgado H.
1. Vergara T. (G) 13. Bustamante C. 39. Gomez J. P. 43. Gutierrez F. 25. Lopes Acevedo M. 23. Lopez L. 2. Munoz D. 40. Oliver F. 20. Ramirez Cuevas A. E. 8. Romo J. 5. Veglio B.
Substitutes
39. Astudillo F. 31. Mora J. 38. Neira A. 43. Poblete J. 5. Retamal D. 13. Sanhueza J. (G) 36. Suazo M. 41. Villegas R.
11. Aliaga I. 29. Avendano D. 26. Caroca J. 42. Dylan M. 28. Ibarra H. 21. Ormeno E. 18. Perez F. 12. Ruz J. (G) 35. Saldivia V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Bustamante C. ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Lopes Acevedo M. ⚽,
45+2', Gomez J. P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ramirez Cuevas A. E. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
58', Fernandez G. 🟨,
59', Salgado H. ↓, Retamal D. ↑,
59', Ruiz M. ↓, Suazo M. ↑,
60', Romo J. ↓, Aliaga I. ↑,
60', Gutierrez F. ↓, Ormeno E. ↑,
61', 0 - 3, Bustamante C. ⚽,
67', Munoz L. ↓, Neira A. ↑,
67', Parra P. ↓, Villegas R. ↑,
69', Veglio B. 🟥,
73', Bustamante C. ↓, Ibarra H. ↑,
78', 1 - 3, Neira A. ⚽,
81', Lopes Acevedo M. ↓, Saldivia V. ↑,
81', Fernandez G. ↓, Poblete J. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 3.
Uni de Concepción has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Curicó Unido has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Curicó Unido may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Curicó Unido has had a series of home games.
Uni de Concepción is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Concepción won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).
Watch
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Matamala D. (G) 
Fernandez G. 
Veglio B. 
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