Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 23

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Ester Roa (Concepción) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Assadi Quintana M. H. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	19:00	SportsEngine Play


	Universidad de Concepción		Huachipato

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.50	3.10	Watch
	2.25	3.40	2.90
	2.16	3.45	3.15	Watch
	2.28	3.61	3.19
	2.17	3.51	3.15	Watch
	2.19	3.50	3.20
	2.25	3.57	3.17	Watch
	2.20	3.35	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.35)	3.49 ↑ (3.34)	3.1 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad de Concepción
42.6%

Draw
27%

Huachipato
30.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.7%

28%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

27.3%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad de Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Huachipato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Universidad de Concepción - Huachipato Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Uni de Concepción will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Broun J. (G) 26. Roco T. 17. Gonzalez M. 3. Barbieri M. 4. Gonzalez O. (C) 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 16. Ogaz B. 20. Rojas L. 19. Mesias C. 22. Funes Mori R. 18. Waterman C.	1. Mella S. (G) 24. Leon Munoz M. A. 20. Toro C. 8. Vargas N. 5. Caroca R. 26. Antinirre H. 7. Briceno M. 6. Sepulveda C. (C) 30. Altez K. 19. Nunez S. 15. Rodriguez M.
Substitutes
21. Espejo J. 7. Gonzalez I. 8. Mater F. 5. Retamal D. 23. Romero P. 29. Sabando D. 32. Saez B. 25. Salgado H. 13. Sanhueza J. (G)	9. Altamirano L. 16. Arriagada L. 10. Canete E. 22. Carcamo J. 49. Cruzat I. (G) 23. Martinez C. 3. Mellado B. 54. Perlaza A. 29. Torres Gaete C. G.
Coaches
Munoz C.	Garcia J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Nunez S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mesias C. 🟨,
46', Mesias C. 🟥,
53', Roco T. 🟨,
58', Roco T. ↓, Salgado H. ↑,
58', Gonzalez M. ↓, Retamal D. ↑,
67', Altez K. ↓, Canete E. ↑,
67', Nunez S. ↓, Altamirano L. ↑,
68', Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 🟨,
72', Ogaz B. ↓, Mater F. ↑,
72', Funes Mori R. ↓, Gonzalez I. ↑,
76', Antinirre H. 🟨,
79', Rodriguez M. ↓, Martinez C. ↑,
79', Rojas L. ↓, Sabando D. ↑,
79', Leon Munoz M. A. ↓, Carcamo J. ↑,
87', Gonzalez O. 🟥,
90', Mater F. 🟨,
90+2', Antinirre H. ↓, Torres Gaete C. G. ↑,
90+6', 0 - 2, Altamirano L. ⚽, Briceno M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 0.

Uni de Concepción has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Huachipato is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Uni de Concepción may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Uni de Concepción is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:24. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Concepción won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Huachipato	25	10	5	10	35:40	-5	35
15	U. De Concepcion	25	6	5	14	18:41	-23	23

Last Results with these Odds

Huachipato - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 32.31%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad de Concepción
Chilean Primera Division
06.09.26	Palestino - Universidad de Concepción	2:1 ✺
02.09.26	Coquimbo Unido - Universidad de Concepción	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Universidad de Concepción - Universidad de Chile	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Everton de Viña - Universidad de Concepción	3:1 ✺
14.08.26	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes La Serena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWLL
- CD Huachipato
Chilean Primera Division
16.09.26	Coquimbo Unido - Huachipato	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Huachipato - Colo-Colo	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Huachipato - Deportes Limache	1:3 ✺
17.08.26	Palestino - Huachipato	5:1 ✺
08.08.26	Huachipato - Everton de Viña	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
06.04.26	Huachipato - Universidad de Concepción	5:1
23.11.20	Universidad de Concepción - Huachipato	0:1
08.02.20	Huachipato - Universidad de Concepción	1:1
17.08.19	Universidad de Concepción - Huachipato	1:1
19.05.19	Huachipato - Universidad de Concepción	1:0
04.08.18	Universidad de Concepción - Huachipato	1:0
24.02.18	Huachipato - Universidad de Concepción	3:0

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