The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad de Concepción 26.3%
Draw 27.1%
Colo-Colo 46.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.4%
27.5%
51.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.8%
26.7%
52.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad de Concepción that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colo-Colo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Universidad de Concepción - Colo Colo Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Uni de Concepción will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Colo-Colo will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Sanhueza J. (G) 21. Espejo J. 4. Gonzalez O. (C) 5. Retamal D. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 8. Mater F. 7. Urzi A. 16. Ogaz B. 10. Fuentealba J. 11. Diaz A. 18. Waterman C.
25. Maureira G. (G) 28. Rojas J. 2. Villagra J. 4. Sosa J. 26. Ulloa D. (C) 8. Madrid A. 6. Alarcon T. 5. Mendez V. 7. Marchant F. 19. Romero M. 10. Pastran L.
Substitutes
17. Gonzalez M. 34. Herrera F. 28. Kmet L. 2. Paez E. 14. Parra P. 35. Ramirez M. 1. Silva S. (G) 6. Ubal B. 22. Uribe A.
22. Aquino C. 34. Catalan R. 9. Correa J. 30. Cuevas Y. 13. Fernandez M. 24. Hernandez L. 31. Torres B. 12. Villanueva E. (G) 21. Wiemberg E.
Coaches
Ramos L.
Ortiz F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Retamal D. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Romero M. (Penalty Awarded),
36', Urzi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Sosa J. 🟨,
59', Diaz A. 🟨,
61', Ogaz B. 🟨,
69', Urzi A. ↓, Kmet L. ↑,
69', Ogaz B. ↓, Ubal B. ↑,
73', Romero M. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
73', Marchant F. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Gonzalez O. ⚽,
81', Villagra J. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
87', Pastran L. ↓, Aquino C. ↑,
87', Alarcon T. ↓, Cuevas Y. ↑,
88', Diaz A. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 2, Correa J. ⚽, Aquino C. (A),
90+3', Fuentealba J. ↓, Uribe A. ↑,
90+3', Correa J. 🟨,
Preview
No spectators. Neutral location - Estadio Fiscal de Talca.
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 1.
Recent performances by Uni de Concepción have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Colo-Colo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Colo-Colo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Colo-Colo is considered a favorite.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Concepción won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).
Watch
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Sanhueza J. (G) 
Mater F. 
Urzi A. 
Waterman C. 
Sosa J. 
Kmet L. 
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