The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad de Concepción 24.8%
Draw 26.8%
Universidad Católica 48.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.2%
27.3%
49.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.6%
26.6%
50.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Universidad de Concepción - Universidad Católica Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Sanhueza J. (G) 11. Diaz A. 10. Fuentealba J. 4. Gonzalez O. 8. Mater F. 19. Mesias C. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 2. Paez E. 5. Retamal D. 7. Urzi A. 18. Waterman C.
27. Melo D. (G) 28. Cerezo B. 25. Corral D. 5. Farias A. 22. Gomez M. 2. Gonzalez D. 14. Martinez J. A. 17. Medel G. 10. Palavecino M. 18. Rossel J. 44. Salas J.
Substitutes
21. Espejo J. 17. Gonzalez M. 34. Herrera F. 28. Kmet L. 12. Matamala D. (G) 16. Ogaz B. 35. Ramirez M. 29. Sabando D. 22. Uribe A.
6. Arancibia S. 1. Bernedo V. (G) 13. Canales A. 15. Cuevas C. 36. Gonzalez B. 3. Mena E. 11. Montes C. 42. Pino N. 9. Zampedri F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 1 - 0, Urzi A. ⚽, Fuentealba J. (A),
11', Gonzalez O. 🟨,
12', Waterman C. 🟨,
12', 1 - 1, Palavecino M. (Penalty Awarded),
14', Medel G. 🟨,
17', Salas J. 🟨,
26', Mater F. 🟨,
29', 1 - 2, Corral D. ⚽,
31', Urzi A. 🟨,
32', Salas J. 🟨,
35', Gomez M. ↓, Mena E. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mater F. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
46', Gonzalez O. ↓, Sabando D. ↑,
57', Mesias C. 🟨,
60', Mesias C. ↓, Ogaz B. ↑,
64', Rossel J. ↓, Zampedri F. ↑,
64', Corral D. ↓, Montes C. ↑,
76', Urzi A. ↓, Uribe A. ↑,
76', Diaz A. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
77', Medel G. ↓, Cuevas C. ↑,
77', Palavecino M. ↓, Canales A. ↑,
81', 2 - 2, Retamal D. ⚽,
87', Zampedri F. 🟨,
90', Montes C. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 0.
Uni de Concepción is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Uni Católica's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Uni de Concepción may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Uni Católica has had a series of away games.
Uni Católica is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 2 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:27. (average 0.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Concepción won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1:1.4).
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Sanhueza J. (G) 
Mater F. 
Urzi A. 
Waterman C. 
Kmet L. 
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