Match Info

Date: 12 May 2021, Wednesday


	Universitario de Deportes		Defensa y Justicia

	1	X	2
	5.5	4	1.6	Watch
	5.75	3.7	1.6
	5.75	3.8	1.57	Watch
	5.2	3.75	1.61
	5.86	3.82	1.6
	5.5	3.8	1.62	Watch
	5.15	4.1	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.53 ↓ (5.6)	3.85 ↓ (4.05)	1.6 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitario de Deportes
17%

Draw
24.4%

Defensa y Justicia
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.7%

23.1%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

13.9%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universitario de Deportes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-22.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Defensa y Justicia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Universitario de Deportes - Defensa y Justicia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Recent matches Universitario de Deportes is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Defensa y Justicia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Universitario de Deportes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Defensa y Justicia have a series of home games.

In this match Defensa y Justicia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Universitario de Deportes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1
10.05.21	Universitario de Deportes - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
08.05.21	Universitario de Deportes - Cienciano	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
05.05.21	Independiente del Valle - Universitario de Deportes	4:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
01.05.21	Alianza Atlético - Universitario de Deportes	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.04.21	Defensa y Justicia - Universitario de Deportes	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLWL
- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
08.05.21	Atlético Tucumán - Defensa y Justicia	5:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.05.21	Defensa y Justicia - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
02.05.21	Defensa y Justicia - Unión Santa Fe	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.04.21	Defensa y Justicia - Universitario de Deportes	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
25.04.21	Defensa y Justicia - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
28.04.21	Defensa y Justicia - Universitario de Deportes	3:0

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