Match Info

Date: 17 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Patria (Sucre)

Referee: Flores G. (Bol)


	Universitario de Sucre		Guabirá

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	3.3	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.1
	1.98	3.35	3.25
	2.03	3.5	3.1
	2.04	3.79	3.22
				Watch
	2.01	3.65	3.22	Watch
	2.05	3.55	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.3)	3.56 ↑ (3.5)	3.18 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitario de Sucre
45.4%

Draw
25.8%

Guabirá
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

25.9%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

27.2%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Sucre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universitario de Sucre's performance.

Guabirá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guabirá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Sucre than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Universitario de Sucre - Guabirá Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Universitario will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Guabirá will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Universitario: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 13 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Universitario won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Universitario will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Universitario won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 17-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Universitario won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universitario de Sucre
Bolivian Division Profesional
11.09.22	Oriente Petrolero - Universitario de Sucre	1:0 ✺
07.09.22	Universitario de Sucre - Real Santa Cruz	3:1 ✺
03.09.22	Real Tomayapo - Universitario de Sucre	1:1 ✺
30.08.22	Universitario de Sucre - Bolívar	2:3 ✺
27.08.22	Blooming - Universitario de Sucre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWTLT
- Guabirá
Bolivian Division Profesional
12.09.22	Guabirá - Aurora	1:1 ✺
07.09.22	Always Ready - Guabirá	2:1 ✺
04.09.22	Guabirá - Real Santa Cruz	2:1 ✺
30.08.22	The Strongest - Guabirá	2:3 ✺
27.08.22	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Guabirá	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
11.07.22	Guabirá - Universitario de Sucre	5:0
19.05.22	Guabirá - Universitario de Sucre	1:0
10.04.22	Universitario de Sucre - Guabirá	2:0
16.12.18	Universitario de Sucre - Guabirá	2:1
24.09.18	Guabirá - Universitario de Sucre	2:0
06.04.18	Guabirá - Universitario de Sucre	2:2
16.02.18	Universitario de Sucre - Guabirá	2:0

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