The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universitario de Vinto 51%
Draw 25%
GVCD San José 24%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.6%
26.7%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.9%
26.2%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitario de Vinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universitario de Vinto's performance.
GVCD San José has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and GVCD San José might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universitario de Vinto that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for GVCD San José than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that GVCD San José could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Universitario de Vinto - GVCD San José Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Vera J. (G) 34. Jara A. 8. Camacho Almanza D. A. 10. Castro R. 26. Lencinas J. 6. Gimenez D. 19. Alipaz J. 22. Calicho J. 21. Cuellar G. 11. Cuellar J. 70. Esdras Mendoza
25. Rivas R. (G) 39. Tapia G. 33. Landa A. 5. Seimandi A. 22. Roca D. 16. Arismendi F. 15. Villamil S. 55. Vargas D. 30. Vasquez F. 10. Galindo S. 17. Roca F.
Substitutes
47. Callau D. 1. Gutierrez J. (G) 28. Jose Pinto 17. Lazarte J. 20. Lujan P. 38. Magallanes J. 23. Pessoa C. 25. Rinaldi M. 2. Valda D. 32. Vera J. 90. Wagner
4. Alarcon F. 28. Pena S. 1. Poveda B. (G) 12. Ribera J. 26. Saavedra D. 6. Serrano L. 40. Vargas J. 3. Villamil J.
Coaches
Thiago Leitao
Villegas E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Calicho J. ⚽, Cuellar J. (A),
22', 2 - 0, Cuellar J. ⚽, Castro R. (A),
26', 3 - 0, Cuellar G. ⚽, Alipaz J. (A),
35', Seimandi A. 🟨,
37', 4 - 0, Jara A. ⚽, Castro R. (A),
45+1', Esdras Mendoza 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tapia G. ↓, Vargas J. ↑,
46', Roca F. ↓, Villamil J. ↑,
46', Esdras Mendoza ↓, Valda D. ↑,
60', Roca D. 🟨,
65', Calicho J. 🟨,
66', Gimenez D. ↓, Jose Pinto ↑,
66', Calicho J. ↓, Magallanes J. ↑,
67', Vasquez F. ↓, Pena S. ↑,
68', Jose Pinto 🟨,
81', Cuellar J. ↓, Pessoa C. ↑,
81', Castro R. ↓, Lujan P. ↑,
84', Landa A. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
Recent form of Uni de Vinto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
GVCD San José is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Uni de Vinto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Uni de Vinto has had a series of away games.
Recently, GVCD San José has had a series of home games.
Uni de Vinto could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
Including home match between the teams, Uni de Vinto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.