Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 17

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles (Cochabamba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Entel Gol 56
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Universitario de Vinto		Nacional Potosí

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.6	3.2	Watch
	1.95	3.40	3.10
	2.05	3.4	3.15	Watch
	2.06	3.6	3.29
	2.05	3.62	3.34	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.2
	2	3.36	3.31	Watch
	2.02	3.35	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.59)	3.45 ↓ (3.64)	3.21 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitario de Vinto
45.3%

Draw
26.4%

Nacional Potosí
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

25.7%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

25.3%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Vinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universitario de Vinto's performance.

Nacional Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacional Potosí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universitario de Vinto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional Potosí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Universitario de Vinto - Nacional Potosí Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Uni de Vinto will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni de Vinto: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Uni de Vinto (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni de Vinto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Poveda B. (G) 76. Esdras Mendoza 5. Alcocer P. 34. Jara A. 70. Lazarte J. 17. Torrico D. (C) 6. Gomez M. 21. Cuellar G. 28. Jose Pinto 22. Calicho J. 32. Pasadore F.	23. Galindo P. (G) 34. Medina K. 3. Amarilla N. 33. Demiquel L. 16. Torrico A. 22. Hoyos D. 18. Azogue P. (C) 10. Nunez M. 27. Abastoflor C. 28. Pena S. 9. Tobar T.
Substitutes
79. Blanco O. 37. Cabrera Suarez L. 27. Calderon B. 8. Camacho Almanza D. A. 12. Careaga J. (G) 30. Cuadiay Fernandez M. 66. Cuestas A. 26. Mendoza S. 90. Saavedra D. 29. Saucedo J. 50. Vargas D. 19. Veizaga J. 2. Visalla G.	5. Alvarez S. 19. Alvarez W. 1. Arauz E. (G) 15. Arce Pari J. 2. Avila R. 21. Baldomar O. 20. Cano E. 25. Orellana J. 8. Pavia L. 7. Solis M. 99. Villalba D. 29. Weslen Junior
Coaches
Straccia M.	Villegas E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Esdras Mendoza ⚽,
12', Villegas E. 🟨,
12', Tobar T. 🟨,
20', Jose Pinto 🟨,
27', Nunez M. 🟨,
40', Pena S. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jose Pinto ↓, Blanco O. ↑,
46', Esdras Mendoza ↓, Vargas D. ↑,
63', Amarilla N. ↓, Alvarez S. ↑,
63', Abastoflor C. ↓, Weslen Junior ↑,
64', Nunez M. ↓, Baldomar O. ↑,
64', Villegas E. 🟨,
68', Gomez M. ↓, Camacho Almanza D. A. ↑,
74', Pasadore F. ↓, Saavedra D. ↑,
74', 2 - 0, Blanco O. ⚽, Saavedra D. (A),
79', Hoyos D. ↓, Pavia L. ↑,
79', Tobar T. ↓, Alvarez W. ↑,
89', Calicho J. ↓, Calderon B. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 1.

Uni de Vinto has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Nacional Potosí has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Uni de Vinto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:25. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Vinto won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.8:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Nacional Potosi	20	8	3	9	30:28	2	27
14	Universitario de Vinto	21	5	3	13	27:42	-15	18

Last Results with these Odds

Nacional Potosí - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.28%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universitario de Vinto
Bolivian Division Profesional
21.08.26	The Strongest - Universitario de Vinto	4:3 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
18.08.26	Guabirá - Universitario de Vinto	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
14.08.26	Universitario de Vinto - Real Tomayapo	0:1 ✺
06.08.26	Universitario de Vinto - Real Potosí	0:2 ✺
31.07.26	Universitario de Vinto - Guabirá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- Nacional Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional
22.08.26	Nacional Potosí - Independiente Petroleros	3:0 ✺
16.08.26	Nacional Potosí - ABB	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Nacional Potosí	2:1 ✺
05.08.26	Nacional Potosí - The Strongest	2:3 ✺
02.08.26	Oriente Petrolero - Nacional Potosí	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
11.04.26	Nacional Potosí - Universitario de Vinto	1:0
23.11.25	Universitario de Vinto - Nacional Potosí	2:2
Bolivian Copa Pacena
22.10.25	Universitario de Vinto - Nacional Potosí	4:3
07.10.25	Nacional Potosí - Universitario de Vinto	0:0
Bolivian Division Profesional
12.08.25	Nacional Potosí - Universitario de Vinto	5:1
Copa Sudamericana
04.03.25	Universitario de Vinto - Nacional Potosí	0:1
Bolivian Torneo Amistoso de Verano
28.02.25	Universitario de Vinto - Nacional Potosí	3:0

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