Match Info

Date: 24 October 2022, Monday

Location: Estadio Hipólito (Vinto)


	Universitario de Vinto		Universitario de Sucre

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	4.33	Watch
	1.6	4.2	4.25
	1.53	4.1	4.3
	1.55	4.2	4.42	Watch
	1.57	4.3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.91)	4.2 ↑ (3.47)	4.36 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitario de Vinto
57.9%

Draw
21.4%

Universitario de Sucre
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

25.8%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

24.5%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Vinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universitario de Vinto's performance.

Universitario de Sucre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universitario de Sucre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universitario de Vinto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Sucre than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universitario de Sucre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Universitario de Vinto - Universitario de Sucre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 15).

Recent matches Universitario de Vinto is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Universitario is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Universitario de Vinto is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Universitario de Vinto won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Universitario de Vinto won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universitario de Vinto
Bolivian Division Profesional
20.10.22	Aurora - Universitario de Vinto	0:2 ✺
15.10.22	Universitario de Vinto - The Strongest	2:1 ✺
12.10.22	Guabirá - Universitario de Vinto	1:0 ✺
09.10.22	Universitario de Vinto - Real Tomayapo	1:1 ✺
06.10.22	Blooming - Universitario de Vinto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WWLTT
- Universitario de Sucre
Bolivian Division Profesional
19.10.22	Nacional Potosí - Universitario de Sucre	3:2 ✺
16.10.22	Universitario de Sucre - Aurora	1:1 ✺
12.10.22	Universitario de Sucre - Always Ready	1:3 ✺
09.10.22	Royal Pari - Universitario de Sucre	3:1 ✺
06.10.22	Universitario de Sucre - Independiente Petroleros	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
14.08.22	Universitario de Sucre - Universitario de Vinto	2:1
Bolivian Copa Simon Bolivar
11.12.21	Universitario de Sucre - Universitario de Vinto	1:1
03.12.21	Universitario de Vinto - Universitario de Sucre	2:1

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