Match Info

Date: 6 October 2022, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Patria (Sucre)

Referee: Rodriguez D. (Bol)


	Universitario de Sucre		Independiente Petroleros

	1	X	2
	4	3.75	1.66	Watch
	4	3.4	1.73
	4	3.6	1.8
	4	3.55	1.76
	4.15	3.73	1.8
	2.8	3.25	2.25	Watch
	4.25	3.58	1.77	Watch
	4	3.6	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (2.83)	3.56 ↑ (3.54)	1.82 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitario de Sucre
23.6%

Draw
25.8%

Independiente Petroleros
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

25.8%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

25.6%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Sucre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universitario de Sucre's form might have worsened.

Independiente Petroleros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Petroleros's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Sucre than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universitario de Sucre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Petroleros, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	25%	43.7%

Universitario de Sucre - Independiente Petroleros Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Universitario will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind Petroleros: 19.5% – 68.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 13 and 12).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Independiente Petroleros will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Universitario won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Universitario won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universitario de Sucre
Bolivian Division Profesional
02.10.22	The Strongest - Universitario de Sucre	1:0 ✺
17.09.22	Universitario de Sucre - Guabirá	1:1 ✺
11.09.22	Oriente Petrolero - Universitario de Sucre	1:0 ✺
07.09.22	Universitario de Sucre - Real Santa Cruz	3:1 ✺
03.09.22	Real Tomayapo - Universitario de Sucre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLWT
- Independiente Petroleros
Bolivian Division Profesional
01.10.22	Bolívar - Independiente Petroleros	0:0 ✺
17.09.22	Blooming - Independiente Petroleros	1:0 ✺
11.09.22	Independiente Petroleros - Royal Pari	3:0 ✺
06.09.22	Universitario de Vinto - Independiente Petroleros	4:1 ✺
03.09.22	Independiente Petroleros - The Strongest	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
24.07.22	Independiente Petroleros - Universitario de Sucre	2:0
07.05.22	Independiente Petroleros - Universitario de Sucre	1:0
13.03.22	Universitario de Sucre - Independiente Petroleros	1:2

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