Match Info

Date: 16 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Patria (Sucre)


	Universitario de Sucre		Aurora

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.25	2.8	Watch
	2.45	3	2.6
	2.55	3.2	2.65
	2.5	3.15	2.6
	2.51	3.27	2.63
	2.5	3	2.62
	2.55	3.25	2.62	Watch
	2.55	3.15	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.06)	3.16 ↓ (3.47)	2.65 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Universitario de Sucre
36.3%

Draw
29%

Aurora
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

26.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

26.7%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Sucre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universitario de Sucre's form might have worsened.

Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Sucre than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universitario de Sucre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aurora, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.8%	14.6%	75.6%

Universitario de Sucre - Aurora Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Universitario will win (votes: 4 - 9.8%). Aurora will win (votes: 31 - 75.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 14.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aurora: 62.5% – 88.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Universitario won 0.

Universitario is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Aurora is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aurora could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Universitario won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Universitario won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universitario de Sucre
Bolivian Division Profesional
12.10.22	Universitario de Sucre - Always Ready	1:3 ✺
09.10.22	Royal Pari - Universitario de Sucre	3:1 ✺
06.10.22	Universitario de Sucre - Independiente Petroleros	2:1 ✺
02.10.22	The Strongest - Universitario de Sucre	1:0 ✺
17.09.22	Universitario de Sucre - Guabirá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWLT
- Club Aurora
Bolivian Division Profesional
13.10.22	Aurora - Real Santa Cruz	1:2 ✺
10.10.22	Independiente Petroleros - Aurora	1:1 ✺
05.10.22	Aurora - The Strongest	0:0 ✺
01.10.22	Aurora - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	0:0 ✺
17.09.22	Always Ready - Aurora	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
07.08.22	Aurora - Universitario de Sucre	1:1
30.04.22	Aurora - Universitario de Sucre	3:0
27.02.22	Universitario de Sucre - Aurora	1:1
04.11.18	Universitario de Sucre - Aurora	0:1
05.08.18	Aurora - Universitario de Sucre	0:0
30.03.14	Universitario de Sucre - Aurora	1:0
18.01.14	Aurora - Universitario de Sucre	0:0

Upcoming Matches