The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
University College Dublin 11.2%
Draw 18.7%
Drogheda United 70.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.7%
25%
51.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25%
23.7%
48.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
University College Dublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that University College Dublin's form might have worsened.
Drogheda United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Drogheda United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for University College Dublin than the current prediction. (+13.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for University College Dublin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Drogheda United than the current prediction. (-21.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Drogheda United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
21.4%
7.1%
71.4%
University College Dublin - Drogheda United Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. UCD will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Drogheda United will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Drogheda United: 47.7% โ 95.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Moore K. (G) 38. Clancy E. 13. Dempsey J. 5. Wells A. 2. Gallagher M. 12. Babb D. 6. Keaney J. (C) 36. Brennan S. 37. Verdon A. 9. Raggett M. 29. Doyle J.
35. Wogan A. (G) 3. Weir E. 5. Keeley C. 6. Adegboyega E. 16. Rooney D. 11. Foley A. 7. Markey D. 19. Brennan R. 8. Deegan G. (C) 21. Heeney L. 28. Noone D.
Substitutes
7. Barr B. 10. Behan C. 21. Bishop D. K. 4. Bowden R. 19. Clarke S. 1. Healy L. (G) 18. Higgins D. 25. Norris D. 26. O'Regan L.
24. Davis W. 18. Egan J. 10. Grimes D. 29. Leddy M. 1. McCabe C. (G) 22. McNally A. 14. O'Brien M. 9. Robinson K. 20. Topcu E.
Coaches
Myler A.
Doherty K.
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches UCD won 1.
UCD is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Drogheda United is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Drogheda United is absolute favorite.
Last 25 head-to-head matches UCD won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 29-41.
Including matches at home between the teams UCD won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-14.