Match Info

IRELAND: PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 23

Date: 7 July 2023, Friday

Location: UCD Bowl (Dublin)

Referee: MacGraith D. (Irl)


	University College Dublin		Shelbourne

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.2	1.4
	7.75	4.1	1.39
	7.5	4.1	1.4
	9.06	4.55	1.41
	7.5	3.9	1.36
	8.6	4.4	1.4
	7.6	4.2	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.93 ↑ (6.33)	4.21 ↑ (3.97)	1.39 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

University College Dublin
11.7%

Draw
22%

Shelbourne
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.4%

23%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7%

21.8%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

University College Dublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Shelbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for University College Dublin than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

University College Dublin - Shelbourne Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. UCD will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Shelbourne will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for UCD: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Moore K. (G) 12. Babb D. 6. Keaney J. (C) 5. Wells A. 3. Osam E. 37. Verdon A. 7. Barr B. 9. Raggett M. 36. Brennan S. 25. Norris D. 29. Doyle J.	1. Kearns C. (G) 29. Barrett P. 21. Molloy G. 32. Ledwidge K. 2. Wilson J. R. 17. Farrell S. 8. Coyle M. 6. Lunney J. 12. Hakiki J. 9. Boyd S. (C) 10. Moylan J.
Substitutes
35. Alonge M. 21. Bishop D. K. 4. Bowden R. 19. Clarke S. 13. Dempsey J. 2. Gallagher M. 1. Healy L. (G) 24. O'Brien H. 14. O'Connor H.	26. Arubi G. 23. Byrne L. 27. Caffrey E. 19. Fisk H. (G) 25. Folan D. (G) 3. Kane C. 4. Quinn A. 28. Toure D. 16. Wood H.
Coaches
Myler A.	Duff D.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches UCD won 0.

UCD is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Shelbourne is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Shelbourne is indisputable favorite.

Last 33 head-to-head matches UCD won 13 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 38-34.

Including matches at home between the teams UCD won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- University College Dublin
Irish Premier Division
30.06.23	St Patricks Athletic - University College Dublin	7:0 ✺
23.06.23	University College Dublin - Sligo Rovers	2:1 ✺
09.06.23	Shamrock Rovers - University College Dublin	4:0 ✺
05.06.23	Dundalk - University College Dublin	4:1 ✺
02.06.23	University College Dublin - St Patricks Athletic	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWLLL
- Shelbourne
Irish Premier Division
30.06.23	Shelbourne - Derry City	1:1 ✺
23.06.23	St Patricks Athletic - Shelbourne	1:0 ✺
09.06.23	Shelbourne - Sligo Rovers	1:1 ✺
05.06.23	Shelbourne - Drogheda United	3:2 ✺
02.06.23	Derry City - Shelbourne	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Irish Premier Division
05.05.23	Shelbourne - University College Dublin	1:0
07.04.23	University College Dublin - Shelbourne	0:0
24.10.22	Shelbourne - University College Dublin	1:1
22.07.22	University College Dublin - Shelbourne	0:2
23.05.22	Shelbourne - University College Dublin	2:0
28.02.22	University College Dublin - Shelbourne	0:0
Irish Division 1
29.10.21	Shelbourne - University College Dublin	1:1

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