Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 12

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Itapirense		EC São Bernardo

	1	X	2
	3.35	2.88	2.18
	3.57	2.96	2.05
	3.4	2.9	2.2	Watch
	3.4	2.9	2.05
	3.44	3.34	2.09
	3.1	3	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (3.14)	3 ↓ (3.04)	2.13 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itapirense
26.9%

Draw
30.3%

EC São Bernardo
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

29.7%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

29.1%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itapirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

EC São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itapirense than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Itapirense - EC São Bernardo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Itapirense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 🟥,
43', 0 - 1, Joaninha ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
78', 0 - 2, Alyson Motta ⚽,
90+2', 0 - 3, Guilherme J. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

EC São Bernardo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

EC São Bernardo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Itapirense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Itapirense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Itapirense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
04.03.26	Desportivo Brasil - Itapirense	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Itapirense - União São João	1:1 ✺
26.02.26	Itapirense - Rio Claro	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Portuguesa Santista - Itapirense	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Itapirense - Bandeirante	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTTLL
- EC São Bernardo
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
04.03.26	EC São Bernardo - Rio Branco de Americana	4:0 ✺
01.03.26	Rio Claro - EC São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
25.02.26	EC São Bernardo - União Barbarense	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Paulista - EC São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Francana - EC São Bernardo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
15.03.25	EC São Bernardo - Itapirense	1:1
24.01.24	Itapirense - EC São Bernardo	1:1

Itapirense - EC São Bernardo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide