Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 19

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	Peniche		Arronches Benfica

	1	X	2
	1.94	3.05	3.9
	2.12	2.88	3.74
	2.04	2.99	3.64
	1.94	3.05	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.32)	2.99 ↑ (2.9)	3.8 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peniche
45.4%

Draw
30.5%

Arronches Benfica
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

31.3%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

33.9%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peniche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peniche's performance.

Arronches Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arronches Benfica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arronches Benfica than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Peniche - Arronches Benfica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, ⚽,
87', 1 - 2, ⚽,
87', 🟥,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Recent matches Peniche is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arronches Benfica is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Peniche won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Peniche
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
09.02.25	Elvas - Peniche	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Peniche - Fatima	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Pero Pinheiro - Peniche	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Peniche - Alverca B	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Sertanense - Peniche	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLTWT
- Arronches Benfica
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
09.02.25	Arronches Benfica - SB Castelo Branco	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Alcains - Arronches Benfica	2:3 ✺
26.01.25	Arronches Benfica - Os Marialvas	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Mortágua - Arronches Benfica	0:0 ✺
12.01.25	Arronches Benfica - Pombal	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
06.10.24	Arronches Benfica - Peniche	1:0

Peniche - Arronches Benfica: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide