Match Info

Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 2

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense (Trofa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Trofense		União de Santarém

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.98	3.8
	1.95	3.08	4.63
	1.93	3.16	4.24	Watch
	1.95	2.8	4
	1.89	2.9	4.41
	1.87	2.9	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.89)	2.97 ↑ (2.96)	4.24 ↓ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Trofense
47.6%

Draw
30.8%

União de Santarém
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

30.8%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

32.7%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trofense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Trofense - União de Santarém Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Silva N. (C) 4. Basto H. 5. Cunha G. 6. Daniel J. 19. Diarra M. 10. Feliz 29. Joel 89. Nuninho 8. Reko Silva 23. Ribeiro Gomes D. M. 77. Roka	22. Hidalgo N. (G) 17. Aguas G. 11. Goncalves E. F. 16. Grilo M. (C) 3. Joao Ricardo 6. Nanco I. 4. Pereira P. 5. Rodeia M. 29. Teixeira R. 20. Ventura B. 28. Vinhas D.
Substitutes
14. Assis Cardoso R. H. 15. Borges F. 22. Duarte E. 9. Hachadi K. 7. Ivandro 2. Oliveira J. 11. Paciencia V. 78. Ruca 12. Teopisto (G)	84. Ayiah E. 13. Bura 9. Eberth 90. Koume S. 58. Monteiro D. 78. Pedro Teixeira (G) 33. Rodrigues M. 14. Simoes J. 7. Teixeira G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Ventura B. ⚽, Aguas G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Reko Silva 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Diarra M. ⚽,
60', 1 - 2, Goncalves E. F. ⚽,
62', Reko Silva ↓, Oliveira J. ↑,
62', Roka ↓, Ruca ↑,
63', Diarra M. ↓, Hachadi K. ↑,
63', Joao Ricardo 🟨,
67', Cunha G. 🟨,
69', Goncalves E. F. ↓, Eberth ↑,
73', Vinhas D. 🟨,
78', Ventura B. ↓, Ayiah E. ↑,
81', Joel ↓, Ivandro ↑,
87', Teixeira R. 🟨,
88', Grilo M. ↓, Bura ↑,
89', Teixeira R. ↓, Monteiro D. ↑,
90+1', Nuninho ↓, Duarte E. ↑,
90+8', Ribeiro Gomes D. M. 🟨,
90+8', Pereira P. 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by Trofense have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Santarém is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Santarém may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Trofense is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 3
07.02.26	Belenenses - Trofense	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Amarante - Trofense	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Trofense - Marco 09	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Sanjoanense - Trofense	2:4 ✺
04.01.26	Trofense - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTLWL
- União de Santarém
Portuguese Liga 3
24.01.26	União de Santarém - Belenenses	2:1 ✺
16.01.26	Mafra - União de Santarém	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	União de Santarém - Atlético CP	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	União de Santarém - 1 Dezembro	1:0 ✺
19.12.25	Caldas - União de Santarém	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WTTWW

Upcoming Matches