The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión Comercio 32.1%
Draw 31.5%
Sport Boys 36.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.7%
29.9%
29.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.8%
29.8%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Comercio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Comercio's form might have worsened.
Sport Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sport Boys's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Comercio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sport Boys, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
50%
16.7%
Unión Comercio - Sport Boys Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Unión Comercio will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sport Boys will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Diaz W. (G) 17. Vargas D. 3. Paredes T. 93. Riojas H. 34. Aranda S. 24. Javier Navea 5. Sanchez K. 30. Torres J. 10. Hernan Perez 7. Carranza M. 9. de Jesus M.
1. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 28. Chavez E. 50. Ramos C. 29. Mansilla F. 26. Ormeno B. 23. Barco J. 10. Techera C. 27. Bueno P. 17. Morales J. 41. Benavente C. 9. Roca F.
Substitutes
23. Alvarez J. 42. Espinoza P. 36. Ferreyra K. 41. Goyoneche J. (G) 15. Jimenez O. 35. Olaya A. 73. Rios D. 26. Tandazo J. 29. Zeta H.
35. Alvarado S. 31. Carbajal C. 14. Correa Flores C. A. 7. Huaman A. 24. Lopez J. 19. Palacios B. 30. Pena K. 12. Quispe I. (G) 18. Rodriguez G.
Coaches
Russo A.
Alayo J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Hernan Perez 🟥,
45+5', Paredes T. 🟨,
45+6', Barco J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Carranza M. ↓, Jimenez O. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Bueno P. ⚽, Benavente C. (A),
60', Roca F. ↓, Huaman A. ↑,
60', Aranda S. 🟨,
63', Torres J. 🟨,
67', Barco J. ↓, Correa Flores C. A. ↑,
67', Benavente C. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
67', Torres J. ↓, Rios D. ↑,
67', de Jesus M. ↓, Zeta H. ↑,
70', 0 - 2, Huaman A. ⚽, Lopez J. (A),
80', Techera C. ↓, Alvarado S. ↑,
80', Bueno P. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
81', Javier Navea ↓, Ferreyra K. ↑,
81', Vargas D. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 15).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Comercio won 1.
Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Unión Comercio won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Unión Comercio won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-7.
Peru
World
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Diaz W. (G) 
Paredes T. 
de Jesus M. 
Mansilla F. 
Techera C. 
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