The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión Comercio 31.8%
Draw 29.7%
Alianza Atlético 38.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
29.7%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.4%
30.9%
33%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Comercio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Comercio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Atlético, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
33.3%
41.7%
Unión Comercio - Alianza Atlético Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Unión Comercio will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza Atlético: 13.8% – 69.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Diaz W. (G) 3. Paredes T. 93. Riojas H. 16. Villamarin R. 34. Aranda S. 24. Javier Navea 5. Sanchez K. 30. Torres J. 10. Hernan Perez 7. Carranza M. 9. de Jesus M.
1. Melian D. (G) 3. Vasquez C. 4. Villegas J. C. 13. Benincasa H. 15. Mendieta Rojas J. A. 5. Arias Fierro S. D. 8. Illanes F. 22. Larios Saavedra G. A. 24. Espinoza Torres R. 7. Castro R. 9. Fernandez A.
Substitutes
33. Aguirre J. 42. Espinoza P. 36. Ferreyra K. 41. Goyoneche J. (G) 15. Jimenez O. 35. Olaya A. 43. Rios D. 26. Tandazo J. 29. Zeta H.
17. Arakaki H. 20. Canela Torres J. J. 19. De la Cruz L. 16. Fernandez S. 10. Flores C. 26. Lupu H. 30. Perleche A. 95. Prieto D. (G) 2. Tovo E.
Coaches
Russo A.
Ameli G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Espinoza Torres R. ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, Espinoza Torres R. ⚽,
42', Riojas H. 🟨,
42', Fernandez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
46', Villamarin R. ↓, Jimenez O. ↑,
46', Fernandez S. 🟨,
54', Benincasa H. ↓, Tovo E. ↑,
66', Hernan Perez 🟨,
68', Torres J. ↓, Zeta H. ↑,
70', Arias Fierro S. D. ↓, Lupu H. ↑,
70', Espinoza Torres R. ↓, Canela Torres J. J. ↑,
72', Castro R. 🟨,
82', Hernan Perez ↓, Ferreyra K. ↑,
82', Javier Navea ↓, Tandazo J. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Paredes T. ⚽,
90', Carranza M. 🟨,
90', Castro R. ↓, Flores C. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Comercio won 0.
Unión Comercio has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Alianza Atlético is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Unión Comercio won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 26-22.
Including matches at home between the teams Unión Comercio won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-10.
Peru
World
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Diaz W. (G) 
Paredes T. 
de Jesus M. 
Melian D. (G) 
Villegas J. C. 
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