Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Miguel Grau (Callao)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Max, Movistar Deportes, Movistar TV App
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sport Boys		Alianza Lima

	1	X	2
	3.70	3.40	1.85	Watch
	3.75	3.10	1.87
	4.00	3.25	1.90	Watch
	4.07	3.33	1.95
	3.89	3.2	2	Watch
	3.90	3.25	1.93
	3.82	3.51	1.91	Watch
	3.85	3.20	1.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (2.85)	3.28 ↑ (3.12)	1.91 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Boys
23.8%

Draw
28.1%

Alianza Lima
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

29.9%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

30.2%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sport Boys's form might have worsened.

Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Lima's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sport Boys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Lima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Sport Boys - Alianza Lima Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alianza Lima will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Melian D. (G) 17. Saba E. 3. Zambrano C. 26. Riojas H. (C) 13. Llontop M. 24. Mora O. 8. Da Campo N. 10. Alarcon J. 32. Erustes P. 9. Nequecaur L. 11. Urruti L.	1. Duarte A. (G) 17. Advincula L. 6. Garces R. 3. Antoni M. 13. Huaman M. 8. Castillo E. 7. Gaibor F. 5. Pavez E. 20. Velez J. 34. Paolo Guerrero (C) 99. Girotti F.
Substitutes
4. Alfani R. 77. Celi Y. 99. Cueva C. 55. Dulanto G. 28. Gonzales E. 5. Illanes F. 30. Liza P. 7. Lopez C. 61. Nolasco J. (G)	29. Archimbaud J. 11. Cantero A. 15. Castillo J. 4. Chavez G. 12. De la Cruz A. (G) 2. Diaz N. 25. Gentile G. 30. Motta G. 22. Neira C.
Coaches
Desio C.	Guede P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Nequecaur L. 🟨,
10', Huaman M. ↓, Diaz N. ↑,
28', 1 - 0, Alarcon J. ⚽, Urruti L. (A),
38', Riojas H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 1 - 1, Girotti F. ⚽, Garces R. (A),
72', Erustes P. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
72', Alarcon J. ↓, Gonzales E. ↑,
79', Diaz N. 🟨,
88', Urruti L. ↓, Lopez C. ↑,
88', Nequecaur L. ↓, Cueva C. ↑,
89', Paolo Guerrero ↓, Cantero A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sport Boys won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Alianza Lima has had a series of home games.

In this match, Alianza Lima is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Sport Boys: Cueva C. (Muscle Injury) Solis L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Alianza Lima: Ramos L. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sport Boys won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 8:35. (average 0.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sport Boys won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 0.3:1.4).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Sport Boys	10	5	3	2	14:7	7	18
11	Alianza Lima	10	4	4	2	14:10	4	16

Last Results with these Odds

Alianza Lima - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.33%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Boys Association
Peruvian Liga 1
01.08.26	Atlético Grau - Sport Boys	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Sport Boys - ADT Tarma	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Los Chankas - Sport Boys	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
10.07.26	Sport Boys - Comerciantes Belén	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Universitario de Deportes - Sport Boys	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWLW?
- Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1
01.08.26	Alianza Lima - Alianza Atlético	3:1 ✺
26.07.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Lima	2:2 ✺
19.07.26	Alianza Lima - Sport Huancayo	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.26	Alianza Lima - Deportivo Cali	0:2 ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
28.06.26	Alianza Lima - Alianza Atlético	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
20.02.26	Alianza Lima - Sport Boys	1:0
16.10.25	Alianza Lima - Sport Boys	3:1
23.05.25	Sport Boys - Alianza Lima	0:1
21.09.24	Sport Boys - Alianza Lima	0:3
18.04.24	Alianza Lima - Sport Boys	3:0
16.07.23	Sport Boys - Alianza Lima	1:0
12.02.23	Alianza Lima - Sport Boys	2:0

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