The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión Española 16.8%
Draw 21.9%
Universidad de Chile 61.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
27.3%
28.6%
44.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.9%
28.2%
44.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Española's form might have worsened.
Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad de Chile's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Española, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (-16.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad de Chile, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.1%
18.2%
72.7%
Unión Española - Universidad de Chile Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Unión Española will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Universidad de Chile: 46.4% – 99%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Universidad de Chile (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Universidad de Chile will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Universidad de Chile (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Parra M. (G) 2. Contreras K. 3. Vidal V. 13. Pereira S. 16. Ramirez S. 6. Jauregui B. 5. Nadruz A. 33. Alarcon R. 7. Ovelar F. 22. Aranguiz P. (C) 23. Jeraldino I.
25. Castellon G. (G) 17. Hormazabal F. 5. Ramirez N. 22. Zaldivia M. 16. Sepulveda M. 8. Poblete Zuniga I. E. 21. Diaz M. (C) 20. Aranguiz C. 19. Altamirano J. 18. Di Yorio L. 11. Guerra N.
Substitutes
8. Carvallo U. B. A. 4. Celis M. 31. Naranjo L. 24. Norambuena G. 10. Uribe A. 12. Uribe E. (G) 15. Vasquez R.
10. Assadi L. 9. Fernandez L. 6. Fernandez N. 7. Guerrero Pena M. G. 30. Montes G. 3. Tapia I. 1. Toselli C. (G)
Coaches
Ramirez M.
Alvarez G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Jeraldino I. 🟨,
16', Contreras K. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Sepulveda M. ⚽, Castellon G. (A),
34', Altamirano J. 🟨,
37', Di Yorio L. 🟨,
38', Di Yorio L. 🟨,
44', Ramirez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Altamirano J. ↓, Guerrero Pena M. G. ↑,
46', Contreras K. ↓, Celis M. ↑,
46', Ramirez S. ↓, Vasquez R. ↑,
70', Jauregui B. ↓, Uribe A. ↑,
70', Alarcon R. ↓, Norambuena G. ↑,
73', Guerra N. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
83', Fernandez L. ↓, Assadi L. ↑,
85', Ramirez N. 🟨,
87', Aranguiz P. 🟨,
90', Diaz M. ↓, Montes G. ↑,
90+7', 0 - 2, Assadi L. ⚽, Montes G. (A),
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso and 8).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Española won 1.
Unión Española is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Universidad de Chile is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Universidad de Chile could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Universidad de Chile is a favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Unión Española won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 18:29 (average 0.9:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Unión Española won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.2:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Universidad de Chile - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.14%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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Parra M. (G) 
Nadruz A. 
Ovelar F. 
Di Yorio L. 
