The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión Española 38.4%
Draw 29.1%
Unión La Calera 32.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.2%
28.6%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
27.9%
33.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Española has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
11.1%
66.7%
Unión Española - Unión La Calera Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Unión Española will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Unión La Calera will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Unión La Calera: 45% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión La Calera (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Unión La Calera (4.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión La Calera (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Parra M. (G) 22. Aranguiz P. (C) 2. Contreras K. 18. Espinoza F. 26. Formiliano F. 6. Jauregui B. 23. Jeraldino I. 7. Ovelar F. 13. Pereira S. 29. Tamayo B. 10. Uribe A.
1. Pena Jorge (G) 21. Alvarez Wallace A. 9. Benegas L. 14. Brunet N. 6. Campos Mosqueira F. 8. De Los Santos E. 25. Diaz C. 5. Moya C. 11. Saez S. (C) 4. Ulloa D. 24. Yanez F.
Substitutes
8. Carvallo U. B. A. 4. Celis M. 11. Montes C. 24. Norambuena G. 16. Ramirez S. 12. Uribe E. (G) 3. Vidal V.
13. Ballesteros J. M. (G) 18. Encinas A. 10. Lobos F. 23. Mendez Gonzalez J. E. 27. Mesias Gonzalez I. S. 2. Saldias J. 29. Soto J.
Coaches
Ramirez M.
Lemma W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Pereira S. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Benegas L. ⚽, Saez S. (A),
22', Yanez F. 🟨,
45+1', Saez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Pereira S. ↓, Vidal V. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Contreras K. ⚽, Espinoza F. (A),
56', Benegas L. ↓, Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ↑,
56', De Los Santos E. ↓, Mendez Gonzalez J. E. ↑,
57', Yanez F. ↓, Saldias J. ↑,
61', Ulloa D. 🟨,
63', Ovelar F. ↓, Huerta R. ↑,
65', Brunet N. 🟥,
69', 2 - 1, Jeraldino I. ⚽,
72', Moya C. 🟨,
75', Uribe A. ↓, Celis M. ↑,
76', Espinoza F. ↓, Norambuena G. ↑,
81', Jeraldino I. ↓, Carvallo U. B. A. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Aranguiz P. ⚽, Huerta R. (A),
85', Moya C. ↓, Soto J. ↑,
86', Saez S. ↓, Lobos F. ↑,
87', Mendez Gonzalez J. E. 🟥,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Española won 2.
Unión Española is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Unión La Calera's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Unión La Calera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unión Española won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:31. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión Española won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Unión Española - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 37.2%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Parra M. (G) 
Formiliano F. 
Ovelar F. 
Tamayo B. 
Brunet N. 
Montes C. 
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