Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 19

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Sierra Nevada (Santa Marta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Unión Magdalena		América de Cali

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.25	1.9	Watch
	3.8	3.1	1.95
	4.5	3.45	1.83	Watch
	4.71	3.26	1.93
	4.61	3.17	1.88	Watch
	3.9	3	2
	4.56	3.24	1.88	Watch
	4.5	3.45	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↑ (3.95)	3.24 ↑ (3.15)	1.9 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Magdalena
21.6%

Draw
29%

América de Cali
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

29.8%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

28.7%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

América de Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Unión Magdalena - América de Cali Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. América de Cali (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: América de Cali will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Restrepo E. (G) 4. Murillo D. 33. Vanegas Zuniga O. L. 5. Payares M. 30. Mosquera D. 8. Sanchez V. 26. Tello J. 24. Cantillo F. 20. Giraldo J. 21. Marquez R. 10. Sarmiento J.	12. Soto J. (G) 26. Mena Perea E. 24. Pestana J. 23. Medina B. 14. Mina D. 15. Carrascal R. 21. Navarro S. 33. Romero J. 8. Quintero J. 11. Vergara D. (C) 22. Holgado R.
Substitutes
7. Aleman J. 22. Barreto O. 17. Blanco R. 19. Diaz K. 34. Gomez Tovar G. E. (G) 18. Molina F. 25. Penaloza J.	29. Cavadia J. 16. Gomez P. 17. Lucumi J. 4. Mosquera A. 9. Ramos L. 27. Silva S. (G) 6. Tovar C.
Coaches
Garcia A.	da Silva J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Carrascal R. 🟨,
25', Sanchez V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sanchez V. ↓, Barreto O. ↑,
59', Holgado R. ↓, Ramos L. ↑,
59', Romero J. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
63', Tello J. ↓, Aleman J. ↑,
63', Giraldo J. ↓, Molina F. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Marquez R. (Own goal),
74', Marquez R. ↓, Blanco R. ↑,
76', Marquez R. 🟨,
78', 0 - 2, Quintero J. ⚽, Lucumi J. (A),
82', Pestana J. ↓, Mosquera A. ↑,
82', Carrascal R. ↓, Cavadia J. ↑,
83', Vergara D. ↓, Gomez P. ↑,
84', Mosquera A. 🟨,
85', Gomez P. 🟨,
85', Mina D. 🟨,
86', Barreto O. ↓, Diaz K. ↑,

Preview

América de Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 1.

Recent performances by Unión Magdalena have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

América de Cali is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Unión Magdalena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

América de Cali is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:27. (average 0.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Unión Magdalena won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Magdalena
Colombian Primera A
09.05.25	Deportes Tolima - Unión Magdalena	3:1 ✺
04.05.25	Unión Magdalena - Once Caldas	Abandoned ✺
26.04.25	Envigado - Unión Magdalena	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Unión Magdalena - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:1 ✺
16.04.25	Rionegro Águilas - Unión Magdalena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 L?LTT
- América de Cali
Copa Sudamericana
14.05.25	América de Cali - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
06.05.25	Corinthians - América de Cali	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
03.05.25	Junior Barranquilla - América de Cali	0:0 ✺
30.04.25	Rionegro Águilas - América de Cali	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	América de Cali - Deportivo Cali	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
30.08.23	Unión Magdalena - América de Cali	0:0
31.01.23	América de Cali - Unión Magdalena	4:0
30.10.22	Unión Magdalena - América de Cali	0:0
15.05.22	América de Cali - Unión Magdalena	1:0
Colombian Copa
12.05.22	Unión Magdalena - América de Cali	2:1
20.04.22	América de Cali - Unión Magdalena	1:2
Colombian Primera A
09.10.19	América de Cali - Unión Magdalena	2:0

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