Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Benitez J. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, SBT, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	DGO Latin America
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network


	Corinthians		América de Cali

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.75	7	Watch
	1.6	3.7	5.75
	1.55	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.53	3.85	6.9
	1.55	3.93	6.58	Watch
	1.57	3.6	5.8	Watch
	1.54	3.76	7.31	Watch
	1.55	3.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.63)	3.76 ↑ (3.6)	6.54 ↑ (5.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians
60.6%

Draw
25%

América de Cali
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

26%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

27%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

América de Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Corinthians - América de Cali Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Corinthians will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Corinthians will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hugo Souza (G) 33. Leo Mana 25. Caca 5. Andre Ramalho 26. Angileri F. 7. Maycon 27. Breno Bidon 70. Martinez J. 19. Carrillo A. 9. Yuri Alberto 10. Depay M.	12. Soto J. (G) 26. Mena Perea E. 2. Bocanegra D. 24. Pestana J. 92. Candelo Y. 7. Barrios C. 21. Navarro S. 15. Carrascal R. 8. Quintero J. 11. Vergara D. 22. Holgado R.
Substitutes
80. Alex Santana 11. Angel Romero 35. Charles Rigon 22. Hernandez H. 46. Hugo 77. Igor Coronado 47. Joao Pedro 21. Matheus Bidu 32. Matheus Donelli (G) 14. Raniele 37. Ryan 43. Talles Magno	35. Angulo Garces K. J. 31. Bertel O. 29. Cavadia J. 16. Gomez P. 17. Lucumi J. 23. Medina B. 4. Mosquera A. 19. Paz L. 9. Ramos L. 33. Romero J. 27. Silva S. (G) 6. Tovar C.
Coaches
Dorival Junior	da Silva J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Depay M. ⚽, Maycon (A),
38', Martinez J. ↓, Charles Rigon ↑,
45+4', Carrillo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, Navarro S. ⚽, Carrascal R. (A),
60', Carrillo A. ↓, Igor Coronado ↑,
61', Breno Bidon ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
64', Yuri Alberto 🟨,
73', Navarro S. ↓, Cavadia J. ↑,
79', Holgado R. ↓, Ramos L. ↑,
84', Leo Mana ↓, Hernandez H. ↑,
84', Yuri Alberto ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
85', Charles Rigon 🟨,
90+3', Barrios C. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
90+6', Pestana J. 🟨,
90+6', Andre Ramalho 🟨,

Preview

Corinthians is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

América de Cali has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, América de Cali has had a series of away games.

In this match, Corinthians is a strong favorite.

We predict that Corinthians will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Corinthians won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A
03.05.25	Corinthians - Internacional RS	4:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
30.04.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
27.04.25	Flamengo - Corinthians	4:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
24.04.25	Corinthians - Racing Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
19.04.25	Corinthians - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWW
- América de Cali
Colombian Primera A
03.05.25	Junior Barranquilla - América de Cali	0:0 ✺
30.04.25	Rionegro Águilas - América de Cali	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	América de Cali - Deportivo Cali	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.04.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - América de Cali	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
19.04.25	Deportivo La Equidad - América de Cali	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
08.04.25	América de Cali - Corinthians	1:1

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