The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vélez Sársfield 43%
Draw 30.7%
Unión Santa Fe 26.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.7%
30.5%
25.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
30.3%
25.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.7%
18.2%
9.1%
Vélez Sársfield - Unión Santa Fe Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Unión will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 46.4% – 99%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Unión (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Montero A. (G) 4. Garcia J. 2. Mammana E. 6. Quiros A. 3. Gomez E. (C) 50. Andrada T. 8. Robertone L. 11. Pellegrini M. 10. Valdes D. 22. Lanzini M. 23. Monzon F.
21. Mansilla M. (G) 35. Vargas L. 2. Rodriguez M. 26. Luduena J. 11. Del Blanco M. 20. Palacios J. 30. Pitton M. (C) 24. Profini R. 22. Cuello B. 25. Tarragona C. 8. Palavecino N.
Substitutes
29. Aliendro R. 35. Arias M. 5. Baeza C. 18. Escobar S. 48. Feler L. 15. Godoy D. 1. Marchiori T. (G) 47. Pereyra A. 14. Pineiro R. 9. Romero B. 32. Silvero T. 17. Veron A.
4. Alvarez E. 9. Colazo A. 3. Corvalan C. 29. Diaz D. 13. Fascendini V. 7. Fragapane F. 43. Giaccone E. 5. Menossi L. 40. Meuli L. (G) 32. Paz N. 12. Pitton B. 23. Solari A.
Coaches
Barros Schelotto G.
Madelon L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
9', Gomez E. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Monzon F. ⚽, Valdes D. (A),
16', 1 - 1, Palacios J. ⚽, Palavecino N. (A),
32', Tarragona C. 🟨,
34', Monzon F. 🟨,
45', Pitton M. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 1, Monzon F. (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', Vargas L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Cuello B. ↓, Colazo A. ↑,
64', Lanzini M. ↓, Aliendro R. ↑,
64', Monzon F. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
65', Robertone L. 🟨,
68', 2 - 2, Colazo A. ⚽, Vargas L. (A),
76', Valdes D. ↓, Baeza C. ↑,
78', Palavecino N. ↓, Solari A. ↑,
86', Mammana E. 🟨,
86', Colazo A. 🟨,
87', Palacios J. ↓, Pitton B. ↑,
90', Andrada T. 🟨,
90+4', Robertone L. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Vélez is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Unión may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Vélez will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Vélez: Escobar S.
(Inactive)
Gordon J.
(Knee Injury)
Machuca I.
(Suspended)
There will not play in Unión: Aguirre M.
(Inactive)
Estigarribia M.
(Yellow Cards)
Grella S.
(Inactive)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 1.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 1.7:0.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Vélez Sársfield - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.66%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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Montero A. (G) 
Garcia J. 
Valdes D. 
Rodriguez M. 
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