Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Alberto J. Armando (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	AFA Play, ESPN 2, ESPN Premium, FOX Sports
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Ecuador	ESPN
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV7
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN


	Boca Juniors		Vélez Sársfield

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.60	6.50	Watch
	1.62	3.40	6.25
	1.70	3.30	5.60
	1.64	3.73	6.56
	1.93	3.22	4.47
	1.60	3.65	6.45
	1.61	3.69	6.26	Watch
	1.59	3.60	6.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.79)	3.52 ↑ (3.19)	6.04 ↑ (5.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
57.4%

Draw
26.9%

Vélez Sársfield
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

29.3%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boca Juniors's performance.

Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Boca Juniors - Vélez Sársfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Vélez will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montero A. (G) 17. Lozano L. 2. Di Lollo L. 32. Costa A. 3. Blanco L. 25. Ascacibar S. 5. Paredes L. (C) 18. Delgado M. 19. Flores L. 16. Miguel Merentiel 10. Aranda T.	1. Marchiori T. (G) 4. Garcia J. 32. Silvero T. 2. Mammana E. 3. Gomez E. (C) 29. Aliendro R. 8. Robertone L. 11. Pellegrini M. 10. Valdes D. 22. Lanzini M. 15. Godoy D.
Substitutes
15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 11. Angel Romero 27. Braida M. 12. Brey L. (G) 4. Figal J. 9. Gimenez M. 24. Gorosito D. 26. Pellegrino M. 23. Rey Domenech C. 20. Velasco A. 22. Villa S. 21. Zenon K.	39. Aguirre T. 5. Baeza C. 34. Busso A. (G) 19. Cristaldo L. 18. Escobar S. 48. Feler L. 16. Magallan L. 47. Pereyra A. 30. Piola L. 37. Policella J. 17. Veron A. 25. Villalba F. (G)
Coaches
Arruabarrena R.	Barros Schelotto G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Valdes D. ⚽,
36', Blanco L. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Ascacibar S. ⚽,
41', Barros Schelotto G. 🟨,
42', Robertone L. 🟨,
44', Costa A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Valdes D. ↓, Escobar S. ↑,
46', Costa A. ↓, Pellegrino M. ↑,
54', Gomez E. 🟨,
60', Pellegrini M. 🟨,
63', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
63', Godoy D. ↓, Aguirre T. ↑,
63', Gomez E. ↓, Baeza C. ↑,
63', Aranda T. ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
74', Flores L. ↓, Villa S. ↑,
82', Robertone L. ↓, Feler L. ↑,
83', Lanzini M. ↓, Veron A. ↑,
88', Garcia J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 3.

In recent matches, Boca Juniors has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vélez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Boca Juniors is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Bareiro A. (Lower Back Injury) Battaglia R. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Belmonte T. (Ankle Injury) Carlos Palacios (Muscle Injury) Marchesin A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Vélez: Gordon J. (Knee Injury) Monzon F. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:17. (average 1.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.08.26	Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Newells Old Boys - Boca Juniors	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.07.26	OHiggins - Boca Juniors	1:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.07.26	Deportivo Riestra - Boca Juniors	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.07.26	Boca Juniors - OHiggins	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTWLW
- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.08.26	Vélez Sársfield - Independiente	1:0 ✺
30.07.26	Talleres de Córdoba - Vélez Sársfield	1:3 ✺
24.07.26	Vélez Sársfield - Instituto Córdoba	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
04.05.26	Vélez Sársfield - Newells Old Boys	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.02.26	Vélez Sársfield - Boca Juniors	2:1
Copa Argentina
27.11.24	Boca Juniors - Vélez Sársfield	3:4
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.06.24	Boca Juniors - Vélez Sársfield	1:0
25.02.23	Vélez Sársfield - Boca Juniors	1:2
02.10.22	Boca Juniors - Vélez Sársfield	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.04.22	Vélez Sársfield - Boca Juniors	0:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.10.21	Vélez Sársfield - Boca Juniors	2:0

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