Match Info

GERMANY: DFB POKAL - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 31 October 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event


	Unterhaching		Fortuna Düsseldorf

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.2	1.57	Watch
	5.25	4.33	1.57
	5.5	4.5	1.58	Watch
	4.45	3.8	1.63
	5.44	4.49	1.56
	5	4.2	1.5
	5.7	4.45	1.53	Watch
	5.2	4.4	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.26 ↑ (5.17)	4.3 ↑ (3.65)	1.56 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unterhaching
17.9%

Draw
21.9%

Fortuna Düsseldorf
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

25.5%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

24.9%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unterhaching has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Fortuna Düsseldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unterhaching than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	14.3%	78.6%

Unterhaching - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions

Users Predictions: Fortuna Düsseldorf will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vollath R. (G) 23. Schwabl M. 37. Schifferl R. 8. Stiefler M. 39. Waidner D. 30. Skarlatidis S. 10. Maier S. 19. Welzmuller M. 38. Mashigo B. 34. Hobsch P. 11. Fetsch M.	1. Niemczycki K. (G) 2. Uchino T. 20. Siebert J. 15. Oberdorf T. 19. Iyoha E. 6. Engelhardt Y. 11. Klaus F. 4. Tanaka A. 7. Tzolis C. 9. Vermeij V. 18. Niemiec J.
Substitutes
24. Heide K. (G) 44. Hirtlreiter A. 16. Keller A. 7. Krattenmacher M. 49. Ortel N. 31. Schmid F. 5. Welzmuller J. 6. Westermeier B. 21. Zimmermann T.	10. Bird R. 35. Bunk D. . Corsten T. 21. Gorka D. (G) 27. Jastrzembski D. 8. Johannesson I. 43. Manu K. S. 31. Sobottka M. 46. Suso S.
Coaches
Unterberger M.	Thioune D.

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Fortuna is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Unterhaching
German 3 Bundesliga
27.10.23	Unterhaching - Waldhof Mannheim	3:0 ✺
21.10.23	Ingolstadt - Unterhaching	3:0 ✺
14.10.23	Unterhaching - Sandhausen	0:0 ✺
07.10.23	Duisburg - Unterhaching	1:0 ✺
04.10.23	Unterhaching - Rot-Weiß Essen	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLTLW
- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
27.10.23	Eintracht Braunschweig - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:4 ✺
21.10.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Kaiserslautern	4:3 ✺
06.10.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Osnabrück	1:1 ✺
29.09.23	Hamburger SV - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hannover	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWTLT

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