Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday


	Arsenal Tula		Volga Ulyanovsk

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.50	2.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.36)	3.5 (3.5)	2.84 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Arsenal Tula
39.3%

Draw
27.2%

Volga Ulyanovsk
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

26.8%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

25.6%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The chances for Volga Ulyanovsk have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Melikhov A. (G) 17. Ahlinvi M. 31. Bolshakov K. 10. Gorbunov I. 5. Gotsuk K. (C) 50. Kozolov 46. Magomedov 4. Penchikov D. 77. Plotnikov D. 21. Razdorskikh N. 11. Zigulev	23. Baburin E. (G) 77. Bagatelia L. 90. Folmer K. 17. Gershun I. . Habibullin 4. Ibragimov K. 92. Kasyanov I. 99. Kostin A. 20. Kovalev K. 3. Krasilnichenko O. 14. Yakovlev V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Khabibullin A. ⚽,
39', 0 - 2, Khabibullin A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 🟨,
90', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Arsenal is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Volga Ulyanovsk has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL
16.05.26	Arsenal Tula - Rodina Moscow	1:4 ✺
11.05.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Arsenal Tula	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	Arsenal Tula - Rotor	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Spartak Kostroma - Arsenal Tula	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	Arsenal Tula - Chelyabinsk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLTTT
- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL
16.05.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Fakel	0:3 ✺
10.05.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:2 ✺
03.05.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Sokol Saratov	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Rotor - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:0 ✺
22.04.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
09.03.26	Arsenal Tula - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:1
30.08.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Arsenal Tula	2:1
15.04.23	Volga Ulyanovsk - Arsenal Tula	0:0
25.09.22	Arsenal Tula - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:0

Upcoming Matches