The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Urawa Red Diamonds 42.6%
Draw 28.6%
Gamba Osaka 28.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.5%
28.1%
26.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.8%
26.7%
25.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Urawa Red Diamonds, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Users Predictions:
Urawa Red Diamonds will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Nishikawa S. (G) 4. Ishihara H. 3. Danilo Boza 5. Hoibraaten M. 88. Naganuma Y. 6. Matsumoto T. 25. Yasui K. 77. Kaneko T. 13. Watanabe R. 8. Matheus Savio 24. Matsuo Y.
22. Ichimori J. (G) 3. Handa R. 20. Nakatani S. 2. Fukuoka S. 4. Kurokawa K. 51. Mitsuta M. 16. Suzuki T. 17. Yamashita R. 7. Usami T. 8. Meshino R. 23. Hummet D.
Substitutes
9. Haraguchi G. 35. Inoue R. 20. Nagakura M. 10. Nakajima S. 16. Niekawa A. (G) 26. Ogiwara T. 21. Okubo T. 14. Sekine T. 18. Takahashi T.
24. Egawa Y. 1. Higashiguchi M. (G) 11. Jebali I. 47. Juan Alano 15. Kishimoto T. 10. Kurata S. 42. Minamino H. 33. Nakano S. 38. Nawata G.
Coaches
Skorza M.
Poyatos D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Nishikawa S. ↓, Niekawa A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Yamashita R. ⚽, Meshino R. (A),
68', Naganuma Y. ↓, Ogiwara T. ↑,
68', Kaneko T. ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
68', Matsumoto T. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
74', Meshino R. ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
74', Kurokawa K. ↓, Egawa Y. ↑,
78', Ogiwara T. 🟨,
79', Ishihara H. ↓, Takahashi T. ↑,
79', Mitsuta M. ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
84', Yamashita R. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
84', Usami T. ↓, Minamino H. ↑,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 4.
Urawa has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Gamba Osaka is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Gamba Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Urawa has had a series of home games.
Urawa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Welton
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:21. (average 1.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.3:1.8).
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Nishikawa S. (G) 
Danilo Boza 
Hoibraaten M. 
Hummet D. 
Jebali I. 
Skorza M. 
Poyatos D. 
