Match Info

J1 League - Round 11

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: MNHK Spring Mitsuzawa Football Stadium (Yokohama)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Yokohama FC		Gamba Osaka

	1	X	2
	3	2.88	2.63	Watch
	2.87	3	2.5
	2.92	2.92	2.57	Watch
	3.04	3.12	2.61
	2.94	3.01	2.65	Watch
	2.9	2.88	2.6
	2.94	3.08	2.61	Watch
	2.95	2.95	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.9)	2.98 ↑ (2.93)	2.6 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yokohama FC
32%

Draw
31.6%

Gamba Osaka
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

32.1%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

32.4%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yokohama FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama FC than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	62.5%	12.5%

Yokohama FC - Gamba Osaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Yokohama FC will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Ichikawa A. (G) 16. Ito M. 2. Nduka B. 5. Fukumori A. 8. Yamane T. 4. Lara Y. 34. Ogura H. 48. Shimbo K. 7. Suzuki M. 76. Yamada K. 91. Lukian	22. Ichimori J. (G) 3. Handa R. 20. Nakatani S. 2. Fukuoka S. 4. Kurokawa K. 10. Kurata S. 16. Suzuki T. 17. Yamashita R. 51. Mitsuta M. 47. Juan Alano 11. Jebali I.
Substitutes
17. Arai M. 39. Endo T. 15. Ito S. 49. Komazawa N. 14. Nakano Y. 1. Phelipe Megiolaro (G) 9. Sakuragawa S. 3. Suzuki J. 30. Yamazaki K.	1. Higashiguchi M. (G) 23. Hummet D. 15. Kishimoto T. 8. Meshino R. 27. Mito R. 5. Miura G. 38. Nawata G. 67. Sasaki S. 40. Toyama S.
Coaches
Yomoda S.	Poyatos D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Nduka B. ⚽, Suzuki M. (A),
15', 1 - 1, Yamashita R. ⚽, Ichimori J. (A),
30', Suzuki M. 🟨,
38', Lukian 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Shimbo K. 🟨,
70', Yamada K. ↓, Komazawa N. ↑,
70', Lukian ↓, Sakuragawa S. ↑,
75', Juan Alano ↓, Mito R. ↑,
82', Suzuki M. ↓, Ito S. ↑,
82', Kurata S. ↓, Meshino R. ↑,
86', Suzuki T. 🟨,
89', Lara Y. 🟨,
89', Ogura H. ↓, Nakano Y. ↑,
89', Yamane T. ↓, Suzuki J. ↑,
89', Yamashita R. ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yokohama FC won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Gamba Osaka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Yokohama FC: Iwatake K. (Knee Injury) Joao Paulo (Broken Leg) Shibuya T. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Welton (Ankle Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Yokohama FC won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:10 (average 1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Yokohama FC won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yokohama FC
Japan J League Cup
16.04.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Yokohama FC	1:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
13.04.25	Albirex Niigata - Yokohama FC	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Yokohama FC - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Yokohama FC - Vissel Kobe	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWLL
- Gamba Osaka
Japan J League Cup
16.04.25	Mito HollyHock - Gamba Osaka	0:1 ET ✺
Japan J1 League
12.04.25	Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka	1:0 ✺
02.04.25	Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
01.07.23	Yokohama FC - Gamba Osaka	0:0
23.04.23	Gamba Osaka - Yokohama FC	1:1
25.08.21	Yokohama FC - Gamba Osaka	3:1
30.05.21	Gamba Osaka - Yokohama FC	2:0
16.12.20	Yokohama FC - Gamba Osaka	0:2
08.08.20	Gamba Osaka - Yokohama FC	2:1
Japan J2 League
25.08.13	Yokohama FC - Gamba Osaka	2:2

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