The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Urawa Red Diamonds 59.5%
Draw 23.5%
Sagan Tosu 17%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.3%
23.7%
17%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61%
23%
16.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
The chances for Sagan Tosu have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
Urawa Red Diamonds - Sagan Tosu Predictions
Users Predictions:
Urawa Red Diamonds will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Nishikawa S. (G) 4. Ishihara H. 20. Sato Y. 5. Hoibraaten M. 13. Watanabe R. 11. Gustafson S. 3. Ito A. 6. Iwao K. 38. Maeda N. 12. Thiago Santana 24. Matsuo Y.
71. Park Il-gyu (G) 42. Harada W. 2. Yamazaki K. 3. Kimura S. 20. Kim Tae-Hyeon 6. Fukuta A. 5. Kawahara S. 23. Kikuchi T. 21. Horigome Y. 88. Naganuma Y. 11. Araujo V.
Substitutes
8. Koizumi Y. 30. Koroki S. 10. Nakajima S. 16. Niekawa A. (G) 66. Ohata A. 21. Okubo T. 25. Yasui K.
12. Koh Bong-jo (G) 99. Marcelo Ryan 28. Maruhashi Y. 19. Moriya K. 8. Nakahara H. 22. Togashi C. 13. Yokoyama A.
Coaches
Hogmo P.
Kawai K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Thiago Santana ⚽, Iwao K. (A),
27', Ishihara H. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Araujo V. ↓, Togashi C. ↑,
46', Fukuta A. ↓, Yokoyama A. ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Matsuo Y. ⚽, Sato Y. (A),
57', Horigome Y. ↓, Marcelo Ryan ↑,
64', Maeda N. ↓, Okubo T. ↑,
66', Harada W. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
68', Yamazaki K. 🟨,
72', Matsuo Y. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
72', Iwao K. ↓, Koizumi Y. ↑,
79', Yamazaki K. ↓, Maruhashi Y. ↑,
81', Thiago Santana ↓, Koroki S. ↑,
81', Ito A. ↓, Yasui K. ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Okubo T. ⚽,
Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Urawa won 3.
Recent matches Urawa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Tosu is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Urawa is a favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Urawa won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 29-22.
Including matches at home between the teams Urawa won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-10.
Watch
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Nishikawa S. (G) 
Hoibraaten M. 
Gustafson S. 
Thiago Santana 
Park Il-gyu (G) 
