Match Info

JAPAN: J1 LEAGUE - ROUND 5

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Machida GION Stadium (Machida)

Referee: Iida J. (Jpn)


	Machida Zelvia		Sagan Tosu

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	5.25	Watch
	1.68	3.6	5
	1.66	3.56	4.93	Watch
	1.73	3.85	5.36
	1.71	3.77	5.36
	1.62	3.7	4.75
	1.69	3.83	5.13	Watch
	1.67	3.65	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.72)	3.71 ↓ (3.72)	5.1 ↑ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Machida Zelvia
56.1%

Draw
25.4%

Sagan Tosu
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

25.2%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Machida Zelvia - Sagan Tosu Predictions

Users Predictions: Machida Zelvia will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tani K. (G) 6. Suzuki J. 5. Dresevic I. 14. Jang M. 26. Hayashi K. 7. Hirakawa Y. 45. Shibato K. 8. Sento K. 22. Fujimoto K. 90. Oh Se-Hun 9. Fujio S.	71. Park Il-gyu (G) 42. Harada W. 2. Yamazaki K. 20. Kim Tae-Hyeon 16. Ueebisu K. 6. Fukuta A. 5. Kawahara S. 88. Naganuma Y. 21. Horigome Y. 23. Kikuchi T. 99. Marcelo Ryan
Substitutes
15. Duke M. 42. Fukui K. (G) 47. Matsumoto D. 2. Okuyama M. 18. Shimoda H. 3. Shoji G. 41. Yasui T.	11. Araujo V. 3. Kimura S. 12. Koh Bong-jo (G) 28. Maruhashi Y. 19. Moriya K. 22. Togashi C. 13. Yokoyama A.
Coaches
Kuroda G.	Kawai K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Fujimoto K. ⚽, Oh Se-Hun (A),
10', Harada W. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Marcelo Ryan ⚽, Kikuchi T. (A),
45', Suzuki J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Suzuki J. ↓, Shoji G. ↑,
46', Ueebisu K. ↓, Togashi C. ↑,
51', Naganuma Y. 🟨,
54', 2 - 1, Oh Se-Hun ⚽, Hirakawa Y. (A),
57', 3 - 1, Oh Se-Hun ⚽, Hirakawa Y. (A),
64', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Araujo V. ↑,
68', Kikuchi T. ↓, Yokoyama A. ↑,
69', Horigome Y. ↓, Maruhashi Y. ↑,
70', Fujimoto K. ↓, Okuyama M. ↑,
79', Oh Se-Hun ↓, Araki S. ↑,
79', Shibato K. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
85', Yamazaki K. 🟨,
87', Fukuta A. ↓, Moriya K. ↑,
88', Fujio S. (Pen),
90+4', Fujio S. ↓, Duke M. ↑,

Preview

In this match Machida Zelvia is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Machida Zelvia to win the game is with odds 1.71.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League
16.03.24	Consadole Sapporo - Machida Zelvia	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Nagoya Grampus - Machida Zelvia	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Machida Zelvia - Gamba Osaka	1:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
11.11.23	Vegalta Sendai - Machida Zelvia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 WWWTW
- Sagan Tosu
Japan J1 League
16.03.24	Sagan Tosu - Cerezo Osaka	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Sagan Tosu	4:0 ✺
02.03.24	Sagan Tosu - Consadole Sapporo	4:0 ✺
24.02.24	Sagan Tosu - Albirex Niigata	1:2 ✺
03.12.23	Sagan Tosu - Kawasaki Frontale	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWLL

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