Match Info

J2 League - Round 17

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Sagan Tosu		Consadole Sapporo

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.4	2.6	Watch
	2.55	3.2	2.4
	2.5	3.35	2.65	Watch
	2.71	3.5	2.65
	2.56	3.37	2.65	Watch
	2.62	3.2	2.45
	2.5	3.32	2.58	Watch
	2.5	3.35	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.5)	3.34 ↑ (3.34)	2.58 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sagan Tosu
36.2%

Draw
27.8%

Consadole Sapporo
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

27.9%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

28.1%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Consadole Sapporo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Consadole Sapporo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Sagan Tosu - Consadole Sapporo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Consadole Sapporo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tosu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Izumori R. (G) 13. Inoue T. 4. Imazu Y. 32. Ogawa S. 5. Nagasawa S. 33. Nishiya K. 27. Sakurai T. 7. Arai H. 11. Nishikawa J. 16. Nishizawa K. 77. Slivka V.	1. Sugeno T. (G) 2. Takao R. 15. Ieizumi R. 6. Takamine T. 30. Tanaka H. 33. Kondo T. 47. Nishino S. 11. Aoki R. 7. Sarachat S. 14. Tanaka K. 20. Bakayoko A.
Substitutes
18. Hino S. 44. Horigome Y. 2. Matsumoto N. 37. Morishita R. 1. Riera Rodriguez A. (G) 15. Sakai N. 47. Shinkawa S. 19. Suzuki D. 91. Uehara M.	35. Hara K. 16. Hasegawa T. 99. Izuma S. 31. Kido S. 21. Nakano K. (G) 45. Nakashima T. 25. Osaki L. 9. Sanchez J. 71. Shirai H.
Coaches
Kogiku A.	Iwamasa D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Imazu Y. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Nagasawa S. ⚽,
40', Bakayoko A. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
42', Nishizawa K. 🟨,
44', Sanchez J. 🟨,
45+3', Sanchez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tanaka H. ↓, Osaki L. ↑,
56', Nishizawa K. ↓, Hino S. ↑,
63', Nagasawa S. ↓, Uehara M. ↑,
63', Sakurai T. ↓, Matsumoto N. ↑,
63', Hino S. ↓, Horigome Y. ↑,
65', Tanaka K. ↓, Hasegawa T. ↑,
69', Imazu Y. 🟥,
72', Nishikawa J. ↓, Morishita R. ↑,
84', Nishino S. ↓, Shirai H. ↑,
84', Sarachat S. ↓, Nakashima T. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Nakashima T. ⚽, Kondo T. (A),
90+6', Horigome Y. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tosu won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tosu won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:35. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tosu won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Consadole Sapporo - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.92%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sagan Tosu
Japan J2 League
17.05.25	Blaublitz Akita - Sagan Tosu	1:2 ✺
11.05.25	Sagan Tosu - Ventforet Kofu	0:0 ✺
06.05.25	Tokushima Vortis - Sagan Tosu	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Sagan Tosu - JEF United Chiba	1:1 ✺
29.04.25	Oita Trinita - Sagan Tosu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTWTL
- Consadole Sapporo
Japan J2 League
17.05.25	Consadole Sapporo - Kataller Toyama	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Iwaki - Consadole Sapporo	1:1 ✺
06.05.25	Consadole Sapporo - Júbilo Iwata	2:4 ✺
03.05.25	Montedio Yamagata - Consadole Sapporo	0:1 ✺
29.04.25	Consadole Sapporo - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
16.08.24	Consadole Sapporo - Sagan Tosu	5:3
02.03.24	Sagan Tosu - Consadole Sapporo	4:0
12.08.23	Consadole Sapporo - Sagan Tosu	1:1
10.06.23	Sagan Tosu - Consadole Sapporo	1:1
Japan J League Cup
19.04.23	Consadole Sapporo - Sagan Tosu	4:1
08.03.23	Sagan Tosu - Consadole Sapporo	0:0
Japan J1 League
20.08.22	Consadole Sapporo - Sagan Tosu	1:2

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