Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 25

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday


	Talavera de la Reina		Ursaria

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	4.75
	1.68	3.3	4.4
	1.75	3.5	4.5
	1.63	3.25	4.34
	1.69	3.43	5.34
	1.67	3.36	5.48
	1.7	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.82)	3.39 ↑ (3.09)	4.76 ↑ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talavera de la Reina
54%

Draw
26.9%

Ursaria
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

29.5%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

28.9%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Ursaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Talavera de la Reina - Ursaria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 12).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Talavera is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Talavera won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.02.24	UD San Fernando - Talavera de la Reina	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Talavera de la Reina - CD Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Unión Adarve - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Talavera de la Reina - San Sebastian Reyes	1:4 ✺
28.01.24	Mensajero - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TTLLL
- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.02.24	Ursaria - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Ursaria - UD San Fernando	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	CD Guadalajara - Ursaria	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Ursaria - Unión Adarve	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Ursaria	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.10.23	Ursaria - Talavera de la Reina	1:1

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