Match Info

Date: 31 March 2024, Sunday


	Llerenense		Ursaria

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.88	2.75
	2.5	2.75	2.75
	2.7	2.9	2.75
	2.67	2.8	2.88
	2.68	2.8	2.88
	2.59	2.88	2.85
	2.5	2.85	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (1.68)	2.84 ↓ (3.05)	2.82 ↓ (5.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llerenense
35.2%

Draw
32.3%

Ursaria
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

29.5%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

29.2%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Llerenense's form might have worsened.

Ursaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ursaria's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+18.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Llerenense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ursaria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Llerenense - Ursaria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Alcalde J. ⚽,
35', Jose K. 🟥,
45', Sanchez V. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 0 - 2, Perez F. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).

Llerenense is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ursaria is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Llerenense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Llerenense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.03.24	UD San Fernando - Llerenense	0:2 ✺
17.03.24	Llerenense - CD Guadalajara	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Unión Adarve - Llerenense	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Llerenense - San Sebastian Reyes	2:2 ✺
25.02.24	Mensajero - Llerenense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWLTW
- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.03.24	Ursaria - Montijo	4:1 ✺
17.03.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Ursaria	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Ursaria - Cacereño	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Talavera de la Reina - Ursaria	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	Ursaria - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.11.23	Ursaria - Llerenense	0:0

Llerenense - Ursaria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide