Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 34

Date: 17 June 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Ursus Warszawa		Sokół Ostróda

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.7	2.2
	2.44	3.86	2.08
	2.71	3.7	2.24	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (4.05)	3.72 ↓ (3.8)	2.08 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ursus Warszawa
32.2%

Draw
24.3%

Sokół Ostróda
43.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.5%

24%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

23.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ursus Warszawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ursus Warszawa's performance.

Sokół Ostróda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sokół Ostróda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ursus Warszawa than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ursus Warszawa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokół Ostróda than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sokół Ostróda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Ursus Warszawa - Sokół Ostróda Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ursus Warszawa will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Ostróda will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ursus Warszawa won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Ostróda is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ursus Warszawa won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Ursus Warszawa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RKS Ursus Warszawa
Polish Division 3 - Group I
10.06.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Ursus Warszawa	2:2 ✺
03.06.23	Ursus Warszawa - Pelikan Łowicz	1:2 ✺
28.05.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Ursus Warszawa	0:0 ✺
24.05.23	Ursus Warszawa - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:0 ✺
20.05.23	Legionovia Legionowo - Ursus Warszawa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 TLTWL
- Sokół Ostróda
Polish Division 3 - Group I
10.06.23	Sokół Ostróda - Błonianka Błonie	2:1 ✺
07.06.23	Sokół Ostróda - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
28.05.23	Pelikan Łowicz - Sokół Ostróda	1:1 ✺
24.05.23	Sokół Ostróda - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:2 ✺
21.05.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Sokół Ostróda	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
19.11.22	Sokół Ostróda - Ursus Warszawa	4:3
09.11.19	Ursus Warszawa - Sokół Ostróda	2:2
27.04.19	Ursus Warszawa - Sokół Ostróda	1:0
08.09.18	Sokół Ostróda - Ursus Warszawa	3:2
07.04.18	Ursus Warszawa - Sokół Ostróda	0:0
26.08.17	Sokół Ostróda - Ursus Warszawa	0:0

Ursus Warszawa - Sokół Ostróda