Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 33

Date: 10 June 2023, Saturday


	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki		Ursus Warszawa

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.9	4.6
	1.55	3.9	4.7
	1.55	3.93	4.7
	1.52	3.6	5.25
	1.55	4.05	5.15	Watch
	1.5	4.35	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.45)	3.96 ↓ (4.25)	4.84 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
58.6%

Draw
22.8%

Ursus Warszawa
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

21.4%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

20%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Ursus Warszawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ursus Warszawa than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Ursus Warszawa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 4.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Tomaszów Mazowiecki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tomaszów Mazowiecki is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 30-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
07.06.23	Sokół Ostróda - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
28.05.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Błonianka Błonie	0:2 ✺
24.05.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Pelikan Łowicz	0:2 ✺
19.05.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:2 ✺
14.05.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLLT
- RKS Ursus Warszawa
Polish Division 3 - Group I
03.06.23	Ursus Warszawa - Pelikan Łowicz	1:2 ✺
28.05.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Ursus Warszawa	0:0 ✺
24.05.23	Ursus Warszawa - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:0 ✺
20.05.23	Legionovia Legionowo - Ursus Warszawa	2:1 ✺
13.05.23	Ursus Warszawa - Unia Skierniewice	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
12.11.22	Ursus Warszawa - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:7
15.05.22	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Ursus Warszawa	0:3
13.10.21	Ursus Warszawa - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	0:5
10.04.21	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Ursus Warszawa	1:0
13.03.21	Ursus Warszawa - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:2
31.08.19	Ursus Warszawa - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:2
15.06.19	Ursus Warszawa - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	4:4

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