Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Parque Artigas (Las Piedras)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Juventud de Las Piedras		Plaza Colonia

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.9	Watch
	2	3.05	3.75
	2.04	3.14	4.23
	2.08	3.07	3.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.1)	3.12 ↓ (3.25)	3.93 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud de Las Piedras
46.1%

Draw
30%

Plaza Colonia
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

28.8%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

28.3%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud de Las Piedras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Plaza Colonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Juventud de Las Piedras - Plaza Colonia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sosa S. (G) 24. Barrandeguy F. 5. Morosini D. 2. Martinez G. 23. Mas E. 32. Rossi I. 8. Izaguirre M. 7. Nongoy P. 77. Rodriguez T. 9. Rodriguez A. 80. Urretaviscaya J. (C)	25. Silva J. (G) 19. Wurth V. 2. Lorenzi M. 16. Velazquez M. 22. Ramos J. 17. Otegui S. 8. Villalba D. 3. Calleros Y. (C) 80. Carrizo L. 77. Acosta B. 9. Alex Bruno
Substitutes
18. Aja J. 22. Chagas R. 29. Dominguez F. 25. Gomez N. 90. Guerrero S. 15. Otormin L. 21. Perez F. 19. Prado A. 12. Rossi N. (G) 27. Soldano F.	11. Bueno G. 13. Garcia J. 30. Maidana A. 15. Meite Y. 10. Ocampo A. 5. Pachame S. 23. Piriz F. 20. Redin E. 6. Redin M. 44. Reyes G. (G)
Coaches
Mendez S.	Mena L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Morosini D. 🟨,
13', Martinez G. 🟨,
41', Lorenzi M. ↓, Pachame S. ↑,
45+3', Martinez G. 🟨,
45+3', Villalba D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Rodriguez T. ↓, Aja J. ↑,
59', Rodriguez A. ↓, Soldano F. ↑,
59', Villalba D. ↓, Ocampo A. ↑,
74', 0 - 1, Ocampo A. ⚽,
75', Nongoy P. ↓, Dominguez F. ↑,
79', Rossi I. ↓, Chagas R. ↑,
79', Urretaviscaya J. ↓, Otormin L. ↑,
82', Morosini D. 🟥,
84', 0 - 2, Ocampo A. ⚽,
88', Alex Bruno ↓, Bueno G. ↑,
88', Wurth V. ↓, Redin M. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventud won 0.

Juventud is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Plaza Colonia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Juventud is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Juventud won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventud won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Juventud de Las Piedras - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.52%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud de Las Piedras
Uruguayan Primera Division
20.10.25	Racing Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Boston River - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - Nacional Montevideo	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLTTL
- Plaza Colonia
Uruguayan Primera Division
20.10.25	Plaza Colonia - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
16.10.25	Racing Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	1:2 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
10.10.25	Plaza Colonia - Progreso	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Racing Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	0:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
01.10.25	Plaza Colonia - Albion Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
26.04.25	Plaza Colonia - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:0
Uruguayan Segunda Division
04.11.24	Juventud de Las Piedras - Plaza Colonia	0:1
13.07.24	Plaza Colonia - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
16.11.19	Plaza Colonia - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:0
11.05.19	Juventud de Las Piedras - Plaza Colonia	0:0
04.11.17	Plaza Colonia - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:0
26.03.17	Juventud de Las Piedras - Plaza Colonia	0:2

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